South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and a history of double-digit GOP margins. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Democrat Courtney McClain in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voter composition and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome above 90 percent aligns with these fundamentals. A national Democratic surge exceeding historical midterm patterns, an unforeseen scandal, or significant late-cycle turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSC-04 Wahlsieger
SC-04 Wahlsieger
$42,505 Vol.
$42,505 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
92%
Demokratische Partei
7%
$42,505 Vol.
$42,505 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$19,372 Vol.
92%
Demokratische Partei
$23,133 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and a history of double-digit GOP margins. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Democrat Courtney McClain in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voter composition and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome above 90 percent aligns with these fundamentals. A national Democratic surge exceeding historical midterm patterns, an unforeseen scandal, or significant late-cycle turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$42,505Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and a history of double-digit GOP margins. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Democrat Courtney McClain in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voter composition and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome above 90 percent aligns with these fundamentals. A national Democratic surge exceeding historical midterm patterns, an unforeseen scandal, or significant late-cycle turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,505Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and a history of double-digit GOP margins. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Democrat Courtney McClain in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voter composition and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome above 90 percent aligns with these fundamentals. A national Democratic surge exceeding historical midterm patterns, an unforeseen scandal, or significant late-cycle turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though structural barriers remain high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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