Democratic nominee David Crowley holds a strong position in the Wisconsin governor race following his narrow August 11 primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by former Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement after a brief campaign suspension. Recent Marquette Law School and other post-primary polls show Crowley ahead of Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 4-5 points among likely voters, with advantages among independents and solid Democratic consolidation. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds in a state where the open seat and urban-suburban turnout patterns favor Democrats. Trader pricing reflects these polling trends and structural factors in the swing-state contest, though the narrow survey margins underscore ongoing competitiveness ahead of the November 3 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$513,171 Vol.
$513,171 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$513,171 Vol.
$513,171 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
$270,710 Vol.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$242,460 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee David Crowley holds a strong position in the Wisconsin governor race following his narrow August 11 primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by former Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement after a brief campaign suspension. Recent Marquette Law School and other post-primary polls show Crowley ahead of Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 4-5 points among likely voters, with advantages among independents and solid Democratic consolidation. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds in a state where the open seat and urban-suburban turnout patterns favor Democrats. Trader pricing reflects these polling trends and structural factors in the swing-state contest, though the narrow survey margins underscore ongoing competitiveness ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$513,171Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee David Crowley holds a strong position in the Wisconsin governor race following his narrow August 11 primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by former Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement after a brief campaign suspension. Recent Marquette Law School and other post-primary polls show Crowley ahead of Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 4-5 points among likely voters, with advantages among independents and solid Democratic consolidation. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds in a state where the open seat and urban-suburban turnout patterns favor Democrats. Trader pricing reflects these polling trends and structural factors in the swing-state contest, though the narrow survey margins underscore ongoing competitiveness ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$513,171Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee David Crowley holds a strong position in the Wisconsin governor race following his narrow August 11 primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by former Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement after a brief campaign suspension. Recent Marquette Law School and other post-primary polls show Crowley ahead of Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 4-5 points among likely voters, with advantages among independents and solid Democratic consolidation. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds in a state where the open seat and urban-suburban turnout patterns favor Democrats. Trader pricing reflects these polling trends and structural factors in the swing-state contest, though the narrow survey margins underscore ongoing competitiveness ahead of the November 3 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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