**David Crowley’s strong position in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race stems from his narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11, bolstered by retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement after a late re-entry into the contest.** This outcome consolidated party support against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, who secured his nomination with minimal opposition. Recent Marquette Law School polling from mid-August shows Crowley holding a modest edge among likely voters (49-44) while tied among registered voters (44-44), reflecting Democratic advantages in turnout commitment and independents. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing appears to weigh these factors, along with Wisconsin’s recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats in statewide races, more heavily than the still-competitive general-election dynamics with roughly two months until November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$513,160 Vol.
$513,160 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$513,160 Vol.
$513,160 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
$270,710 Vol.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$242,449 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley’s strong position in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race stems from his narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11, bolstered by retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement after a late re-entry into the contest.** This outcome consolidated party support against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, who secured his nomination with minimal opposition. Recent Marquette Law School polling from mid-August shows Crowley holding a modest edge among likely voters (49-44) while tied among registered voters (44-44), reflecting Democratic advantages in turnout commitment and independents. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing appears to weigh these factors, along with Wisconsin’s recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats in statewide races, more heavily than the still-competitive general-election dynamics with roughly two months until November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$513,160Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley’s strong position in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race stems from his narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11, bolstered by retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement after a late re-entry into the contest.** This outcome consolidated party support against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, who secured his nomination with minimal opposition. Recent Marquette Law School polling from mid-August shows Crowley holding a modest edge among likely voters (49-44) while tied among registered voters (44-44), reflecting Democratic advantages in turnout commitment and independents. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing appears to weigh these factors, along with Wisconsin’s recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats in statewide races, more heavily than the still-competitive general-election dynamics with roughly two months until November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$513,160Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...**David Crowley’s strong position in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race stems from his narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11, bolstered by retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement after a late re-entry into the contest.** This outcome consolidated party support against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, who secured his nomination with minimal opposition. Recent Marquette Law School polling from mid-August shows Crowley holding a modest edge among likely voters (49-44) while tied among registered voters (44-44), reflecting Democratic advantages in turnout commitment and independents. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing appears to weigh these factors, along with Wisconsin’s recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats in statewide races, more heavily than the still-competitive general-election dynamics with roughly two months until November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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