Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in the November general election. The district, rated a toss-up by forecasters, features a narrow partisan balance and delivered Van Orden only a 51.4% victory in 2024. A June 2026 poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46%, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party resources. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 73% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s swing character, Cooke’s prior near-miss, and the competitive midterm environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWI-03 Wahlsieger
WI-03 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
73%
Republikanische Partei
28%
NEU
NEU
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$2,433 Vol.
73%
Republikanische Partei
$1,464 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in the November general election. The district, rated a toss-up by forecasters, features a narrow partisan balance and delivered Van Orden only a 51.4% victory in 2024. A June 2026 poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46%, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party resources. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 73% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s swing character, Cooke’s prior near-miss, and the competitive midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$3,896Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in the November general election. The district, rated a toss-up by forecasters, features a narrow partisan balance and delivered Van Orden only a 51.4% victory in 2024. A June 2026 poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46%, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party resources. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 73% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s swing character, Cooke’s prior near-miss, and the competitive midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$3,896Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in the November general election. The district, rated a toss-up by forecasters, features a narrow partisan balance and delivered Van Orden only a 51.4% victory in 2024. A June 2026 poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46%, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party resources. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 73% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s swing character, Cooke’s prior near-miss, and the competitive midterm environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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