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Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

icon for Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

Jordan Bardella 24%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$71,551,776 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 24%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$71,551,776 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$893,852 Vol.

24%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$702,915 Vol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$556,072 Vol.

11%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$518,658 Vol.

6%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,016,320 Vol.

5%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,153,661 Vol.

5%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,201,617 Vol.

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,236,324 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,364,973 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$835,178 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,300,636 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,478,096 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$889,380 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$739,817 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,362,199 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,266,104 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,034,766 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$2,578,333 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$731,467 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,684,778 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,168,855 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$3,521,685 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,786,444 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,494,820 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,048,053 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,112,922 Vol.

1%

icon for Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

$3,026,038 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,751,192 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,552,899 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,284,655 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,606,233 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

$2,887,929 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$3,213,751 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

$2,471,768 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,336,427 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

$3,743,429 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella's slight edge in trader consensus reflects National Rally's persistent first-round polling lead around 35% following March 2026 municipal election gains, where the far right showed strong local momentum amid ongoing hung parliament instability from 2024 legislative results. Édouard Philippe trails closely after launching his presidential bid and reelection as Le Havre mayor, with surveys positioning him as the top second-round contender against RN due to centrist appeal and Horizons party backing. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's May 3 candidacy announcement bolsters left-wing options at 10-13%, keeping the fragmented field competitive. Government survival of recent no-confidence votes on budget and trade deals underscores policy gridlock fueling desire for change, while party primaries and potential scandals like the EU probe into Bardella could widen gaps before the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$71,551,776
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella's slight edge in trader consensus reflects National Rally's persistent first-round polling lead around 35% following March 2026 municipal election gains, where the far right showed strong local momentum amid ongoing hung parliament instability from 2024 legislative results. Édouard Philippe trails closely after launching his presidential bid and reelection as Le Havre mayor, with surveys positioning him as the top second-round contender against RN due to centrist appeal and Horizons party backing. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's May 3 candidacy announcement bolsters left-wing options at 10-13%, keeping the fragmented field competitive. Government survival of recent no-confidence votes on budget and trade deals underscores policy gridlock fueling desire for change, while party primaries and potential scandals like the EU probe into Bardella could widen gaps before the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$71,551,776
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 24%, gefolgt von „Édouard Philippe" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 24¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $71.6 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 36 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 24%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.