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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$85,096 Vol.

22. Apr. 2027
Polymarket

$85,096 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$5,463 Vol.

86%

Jordan Bardella

$5,978 Vol.

11%

Michel Barnier

$409 Vol.

10%

Valérie Pécresse

$686 Vol.

6%

Élisabeth Borne

$1,456 Vol.

8%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,079 Vol.

9%

Jean Castex

$1,246 Vol.

2%

Gérald Darmanin

$1,128 Vol.

7%

Sébastien Lecornu

$3,838 Vol.

10%

François Bayrou

$1,278 Vol.

1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,118 Vol.

55%

Carole Delga

$1,393 Vol.

5%

François Hollande

$1,624 Vol.

60%

Manuel Bompard

$3,320 Vol.

6%

Mathilde Panot

$19,113 Vol.

3%

Dominique de Villepin

$1,293 Vol.

51%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**As of mid-September 2026, France’s 2027 presidential race features an unprecedented number of declared or potential candidates following Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third term.** Marine Le Pen confirmed her fourth bid in July after an appeals court reduced her ineligibility period despite upholding her embezzlement conviction, with her Cassation appeal suspending the ankle-monitor requirement for now. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have launched center-right and centrist campaigns, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads the radical left and a Socialist-led primary (including Raphaël Glucksmann) is scheduled for October. Rassemblement National tops early polling, but the fragmented moderate field and ongoing legal or party negotiations continue to shape further announcements ahead of the April 2027 first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$85,096
Enddatum
23. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**As of mid-September 2026, France’s 2027 presidential race features an unprecedented number of declared or potential candidates following Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third term.** Marine Le Pen confirmed her fourth bid in July after an appeals court reduced her ineligibility period despite upholding her embezzlement conviction, with her Cassation appeal suspending the ankle-monitor requirement for now. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have launched center-right and centrist campaigns, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads the radical left and a Socialist-led primary (including Raphaël Glucksmann) is scheduled for October. Rassemblement National tops early polling, but the fragmented moderate field and ongoing legal or party negotiations continue to shape further announcements ahead of the April 2027 first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$85,096
Enddatum
23. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

96%
icon for Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

36%
Ja
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

88%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 21 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Gabriel Attal" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Olivier Faure" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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