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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$85,096 Vol.

22. Apr. 2027
Polymarket

$85,096 Vol.

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?** With Emmanuel Macron ineligible for a third term, France’s April 2027 presidential election has prompted an unusually large field of declared and potential candidates by mid-September 2026. Major announcements in 2026 include Marine Le Pen’s July confirmation for the Rassemblement National following an appeals court ruling that preserved her eligibility, Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May declaration for La France Insoumise, Gabriel Attal’s May bid for Renaissance, Édouard Philippe’s earlier launch, Bruno Retailleau’s Republican nomination, and Raphaël Glucksmann’s August entry tied to an October left-wing primary. Polls consistently show Le Pen leading the first round, with Mélenchon close behind in many scenarios, while the center-right remains fragmented among Philippe, Attal, and others. Upcoming events such as the October primary and any further legal or party decisions could trigger additional candidacies or consolidations before the 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$85,096
Enddatum
23. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?** With Emmanuel Macron ineligible for a third term, France’s April 2027 presidential election has prompted an unusually large field of declared and potential candidates by mid-September 2026. Major announcements in 2026 include Marine Le Pen’s July confirmation for the Rassemblement National following an appeals court ruling that preserved her eligibility, Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May declaration for La France Insoumise, Gabriel Attal’s May bid for Renaissance, Édouard Philippe’s earlier launch, Bruno Retailleau’s Republican nomination, and Raphaël Glucksmann’s August entry tied to an October left-wing primary. Polls consistently show Le Pen leading the first round, with Mélenchon close behind in many scenarios, while the center-right remains fragmented among Philippe, Attal, and others. Upcoming events such as the October primary and any further legal or party decisions could trigger additional candidacies or consolidations before the 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$85,096
Enddatum
23. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

96%
icon for Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

36%
Ja
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

88%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 21 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Gabriel Attal" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Olivier Faure" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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