Skip to main content
icon for Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua
Politik·Taiwan

Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua

icon for Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua
Politik·Taiwan

Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 2.1%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 2.1%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Chang San-cheng

Chang San-cheng

$2,769 Vol.

89%

icon for Huang Shih-chieh

Huang Shih-chieh

$1,374 Vol.

2%

icon for Perng Shaw-jiin

Perng Shaw-jiin

$1,176 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang San-cheng, the Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent seeking re-election, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Taoyuan mayoral race, reflecting strong trader consensus around his established position ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote. Recent polling from March 2026 showed him leading potential Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) challengers by 5–7 points with roughly 20% undecided, while the DPP's April nomination of Huang Shih-chieh as the main opponent has not shifted momentum. KMT party consolidation efforts in July 2026 further reinforced the incumbent's position. Huang sits at 2.1% and Perng Shaw-jiin at 0.1%, with remaining options at negligible levels, as the market prices in the structural advantages of incumbency and party backing over the remaining campaign period.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$5,319
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang San-cheng, the Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent seeking re-election, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Taoyuan mayoral race, reflecting strong trader consensus around his established position ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote. Recent polling from March 2026 showed him leading potential Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) challengers by 5–7 points with roughly 20% undecided, while the DPP's April nomination of Huang Shih-chieh as the main opponent has not shifted momentum. KMT party consolidation efforts in July 2026 further reinforced the incumbent's position. Huang sits at 2.1% and Perng Shaw-jiin at 0.1%, with remaining options at negligible levels, as the market prices in the structural advantages of incumbency and party backing over the remaining campaign period.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$5,319
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Chiang Wan-an die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taipeh gewinnen?

Wird Chiang Wan-an die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taipeh gewinnen?

91%
Ja
icon for Wird Lee Shu-chuan die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Neu-Taipeh gewinnen?

Wird Lee Shu-chuan die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Neu-Taipeh gewinnen?

78%
Ja
icon for Wird Johnny Chiang die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taichung gewinnen?

Wird Johnny Chiang die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taichung gewinnen?

89%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Chang San-cheng" mit 89%, gefolgt von „Huang Shih-chieh" mit 2%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 89¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua" ist „Chang San-cheng" mit 89%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Huang Shih-chieh" mit 2%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.