Skip to main content
icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Wahlen·Frankreich

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Wahlen·Frankreich

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$300,700 Vol.

16. Apr. 2027
Polymarket

$300,700 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,763 Vol.

96%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,980 Vol.

88%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$25,795 Vol.

88%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$14,475 Vol.

85%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$9,501 Vol.

80%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,614 Vol.

80%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,967 Vol.

65%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$8,036 Vol.

59%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,597 Vol.

55%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$7,018 Vol.

49%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,930 Vol.

47%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$14,379 Vol.

40%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$11,303 Vol.

32%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$10,109 Vol.

30%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$11,122 Vol.

28%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$7,937 Vol.

27%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$6,693 Vol.

14%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,011 Vol.

13%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$9,474 Vol.

12%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$21,550 Vol.

12%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$4,697 Vol.

10%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$9,308 Vol.

8%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$3,119 Vol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,341 Vol.

7%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,161 Vol.

7%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$7,983 Vol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,824 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,596 Vol.

7%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$595 Vol.

6%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$12,661 Vol.

6%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,078 Vol.

6%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,075 Vol.

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$681 Vol.

5%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$4,440 Vol.

4%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$3,656 Vol.

3%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$364 Vol.

3%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,088 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,934 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,598 Vol.

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,160 Vol.

3%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$829 Vol.

3%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$6,512 Vol.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$2,849 Vol.

3%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,666 Vol.

9%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$994 Vol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,236 Vol.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, the 2027 French presidential election features an unusually crowded field of over 30 declared or potential candidates, driven by Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third consecutive term. Marine Le Pen announced her Rassemblement National candidacy in July after an appeals court reduced her ineligibility period, though a Cassation appeal remains pending. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have positioned themselves as leading centrist contenders, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Raphaël Glucksmann represent left-wing options amid scheduled primaries, including a United Left vote in October 2026. Bruno Retailleau leads Les Républicains, and far-right figures like Éric Zemmour remain active. Polling shows Rassemblement National frontrunners, but ballot access depends on securing 500 parrainages, party consolidations, and legal resolutions ahead of the April first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$300,700
Enddatum
17. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, the 2027 French presidential election features an unusually crowded field of over 30 declared or potential candidates, driven by Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third consecutive term. Marine Le Pen announced her Rassemblement National candidacy in July after an appeals court reduced her ineligibility period, though a Cassation appeal remains pending. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have positioned themselves as leading centrist contenders, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Raphaël Glucksmann represent left-wing options amid scheduled primaries, including a United Left vote in October 2026. Bruno Retailleau leads Les Républicains, and far-right figures like Éric Zemmour remain active. Polling shows Rassemblement National frontrunners, but ballot access depends on securing 500 parrainages, party consolidations, and legal resolutions ahead of the April first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$300,700
Enddatum
17. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

96%
icon for Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

Wird Marine Le Pen die französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 gewinnen?

32%
Ja
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

85%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 46+ möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Jean-Luc Mélenchon" mit 96%, gefolgt von „Nathalie Arthaud" mit 88%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 96¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $300.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 22, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 46+ verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ist „Jean-Luc Mélenchon" mit 96%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Nathalie Arthaud" mit 88%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.