Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 general election shows the centre-left bloc anchored by the Social Democrats under Magdalena Andersson maintaining a narrow lead of roughly 50–53% against the governing right-wing bloc at 45–47%. The most recent Demoskop survey placed the opposition parties at 50.6% and the Tidö parties at 46.9%, with Andersson’s party holding steady near its 2022 result while support for the Moderates has softened. These trends position Andersson as the consensus choice to form the next government in the Riksdag, reflected in the market’s 85.5% probability. Current Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s lower share aligns with his bloc’s deficit, while smaller-party leaders register minimal implied chances pending final vote counts and coalition negotiations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNächster Premierminister von Schweden
Magdalena Andersson 86%
Ulf Kristersson 13%
Ebba Busch 1.3%
Jimmie Åkesson <1%
$3,665,358 Vol.
$3,665,358 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
86%

Ulf Kristersson
13%

Ebba Busch
1%

Jimmie Åkesson
1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 86%
Ulf Kristersson 13%
Ebba Busch 1.3%
Jimmie Åkesson <1%
$3,665,358 Vol.
$3,665,358 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
86%

Ulf Kristersson
13%

Ebba Busch
1%

Jimmie Åkesson
1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 general election shows the centre-left bloc anchored by the Social Democrats under Magdalena Andersson maintaining a narrow lead of roughly 50–53% against the governing right-wing bloc at 45–47%. The most recent Demoskop survey placed the opposition parties at 50.6% and the Tidö parties at 46.9%, with Andersson’s party holding steady near its 2022 result while support for the Moderates has softened. These trends position Andersson as the consensus choice to form the next government in the Riksdag, reflected in the market’s 85.5% probability. Current Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s lower share aligns with his bloc’s deficit, while smaller-party leaders register minimal implied chances pending final vote counts and coalition negotiations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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