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Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: 1. Platz in Roraima

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: 1. Platz in Roraima
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: 1. Platz in Roraima

Flavio Bolsonaro 92.9%

Lula 1.6%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Flavio Bolsonaro 92.9%

Lula 1.6%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$2,792 Vol.

93%

icon for Lula

Lula

$487 Vol.

2%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$334 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$413 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$444 Vol.

<1%

icon for Schriftsteller Augusto Cury

Schriftsteller Augusto Cury

$366 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$407 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$327 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro’s commanding 93% implied probability of finishing first in Roraima reflects the state’s longstanding alignment with the Liberal Party and the Bolsonaro family brand, reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro’s dominant past results there and the broader conservative tilt in northern Amazon states. Recent campaign launches by both Flavio and incumbent Lula, along with Flavio’s selection of Alfredo Gaspar as running mate, have kept national attention on the October 4 first-round contest, yet trader consensus centers on Roraima’s structural preference for right-leaning candidates over national polling trends. Low probabilities for Lula and scattered minor contenders underscore limited expected vote splitting on the right. Shifts could still arise from late regional endorsements, turnout surges among other conservative factions, or unexpected economic developments that alter voter priorities before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$7,326
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro’s commanding 93% implied probability of finishing first in Roraima reflects the state’s longstanding alignment with the Liberal Party and the Bolsonaro family brand, reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro’s dominant past results there and the broader conservative tilt in northern Amazon states. Recent campaign launches by both Flavio and incumbent Lula, along with Flavio’s selection of Alfredo Gaspar as running mate, have kept national attention on the October 4 first-round contest, yet trader consensus centers on Roraima’s structural preference for right-leaning candidates over national polling trends. Low probabilities for Lula and scattered minor contenders underscore limited expected vote splitting on the right. Shifts could still arise from late regional endorsements, turnout surges among other conservative factions, or unexpected economic developments that alter voter priorities before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$7,326
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Verwandte

icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

64%
icon for Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen aus Paraná erhalten?

Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen aus Paraná erhalten?

93%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Tocantins erhalten?

Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Tocantins erhalten?

54%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: 1. Platz in Roraima" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 93%, gefolgt von „Lula" mit 2%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 93¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 93% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: 1. Platz in Roraima" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: 1. Platz in Roraima" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: 1. Platz in Roraima" ist „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 93%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 93% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Lula" mit 2%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: 1. Platz in Roraima" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.