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icon for Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 1. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 1. Platz

icon for Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 1. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 1. Platz

Vinicius Benevides 41%

Waguinho 41%

Marcelo Crivella 40%

Luciano Mattos 39%

Polymarket
NEU

Vinicius Benevides 41%

Waguinho 41%

Marcelo Crivella 40%

Luciano Mattos 39%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$49 Vol.

41%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$49 Vol.

41%

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$49 Vol.

40%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$49 Vol.

39%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$49 Vol.

39%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$49 Vol.

38%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$49 Vol.

38%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$49 Vol.

38%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$49 Vol.

38%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$49 Vol.

38%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$49 Vol.

34%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$49 Vol.

26%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$49 Vol.

24%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$49 Vol.

24%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$49 Vol.

22%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$49 Vol.

22%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for the two seats up in the October 4, 2026 election remains tightly contested among a fragmented field of roughly 16 registered candidates.** Polls released in July and early August place Benedita da Silva (PT) in the lead for the top spot, with Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) competitive for second and Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Jordy (PL), and Carlos Portinho (PL) clustered closely behind. Recent finalization of candidacies on August 15 has clarified the ballot but introduced little separation, as no major withdrawals or consolidations have occurred and voter intentions show high indecision or split preferences across parties. **The market’s narrow spreads reflect this multi-candidate dynamic in an open-seat contest formerly held by Flávio Bolsonaro (now running for president).** Key variables that could widen gaps include upcoming Datafolha or AtlasIntel releases measuring first- and second-place intentions, any late alliances or endorsements from state-level figures, and turnout patterns in the capital versus interior municipalities. With the vote less than two months away, modest shifts in name recognition or campaign visibility among the mid-tier contenders could still reorder the top tier before election night.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$779
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for the two seats up in the October 4, 2026 election remains tightly contested among a fragmented field of roughly 16 registered candidates.** Polls released in July and early August place Benedita da Silva (PT) in the lead for the top spot, with Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) competitive for second and Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Jordy (PL), and Carlos Portinho (PL) clustered closely behind. Recent finalization of candidacies on August 15 has clarified the ballot but introduced little separation, as no major withdrawals or consolidations have occurred and voter intentions show high indecision or split preferences across parties. **The market’s narrow spreads reflect this multi-candidate dynamic in an open-seat contest formerly held by Flávio Bolsonaro (now running for president).** Key variables that could widen gaps include upcoming Datafolha or AtlasIntel releases measuring first- and second-place intentions, any late alliances or endorsements from state-level figures, and turnout patterns in the capital versus interior municipalities. With the vote less than two months away, modest shifts in name recognition or campaign visibility among the mid-tier contenders could still reorder the top tier before election night.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$779
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Luiz Eugenio bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio de Janeiro die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Luiz Eugenio bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio de Janeiro die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

44%
Ja
icon for Will Rigotto win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Rigotto win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

45%
icon for Will Samanda de Lula win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Samanda de Lula win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

45%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 1. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Vinicius Benevides" mit 41%, gefolgt von „Waguinho" mit 41%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 41¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 1. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 1. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 16 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 1. Platz" ist „Vinicius Benevides" mit 41%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Waguinho" mit 41%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl in Rio de Janeiro: 1. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.