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Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Espírito Santo

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Espírito Santo
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Espírito Santo

Hertz Dias 44%

Lula 44%

Pablo Marçal 44%

Renan Santos 44%

Polymarket
NEU

Hertz Dias 44%

Lula 44%

Pablo Marçal 44%

Renan Santos 44%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Lula

Lula

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Samara

Samara

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Zema

Zema

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$0 Vol.

40%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polls show Lula holding a modest first-round lead over Flávio Bolsonaro, yet Espírito Santo’s Southeast electorate has historically favored center-right candidates, creating uncertainty over the state outcome. With the official campaign period just beginning after August party conventions and candidate registrations, no dominant local frontrunner has emerged among the wide field that includes Bolsonaro, Lula, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and several lower-polling names. Trader pricing near even odds across many options reflects this fragmentation and limited state-specific data, as national trends have not consolidated support in the battleground region. Scheduled debates, regional endorsements, and early advertising could quickly shift preferences ahead of the October 4 first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polls show Lula holding a modest first-round lead over Flávio Bolsonaro, yet Espírito Santo’s Southeast electorate has historically favored center-right candidates, creating uncertainty over the state outcome. With the official campaign period just beginning after August party conventions and candidate registrations, no dominant local frontrunner has emerged among the wide field that includes Bolsonaro, Lula, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and several lower-polling names. Trader pricing near even odds across many options reflects this fragmentation and limited state-specific data, as national trends have not consolidated support in the battleground region. Scheduled debates, regional endorsements, and early advertising could quickly shift preferences ahead of the October 4 first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Lula bei der nächsten brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl die meisten Stimmen in São Paulo erhalten?

Wird Lula bei der nächsten brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl die meisten Stimmen in São Paulo erhalten?

41%
Ja
icon for Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl die meisten Stimmen in Tocantins erhalten?

Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl die meisten Stimmen in Tocantins erhalten?

44%
Ja
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

41%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Espírito Santo" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Hertz Dias" mit 44%, gefolgt von „Lula" mit 44%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 44¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Espírito Santo" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Espírito Santo" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Espírito Santo" ist „Hertz Dias" mit 44%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Lula" mit 44%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Espírito Santo" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.