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icon for Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Alagoas
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Alagoas

icon for Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Alagoas
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Alagoas

Lula 89%

Renan Santos 9%

Clariana Barao 6%

Flavio Bolsonaro 6%

Polymarket
NEU

Lula 89%

Renan Santos 9%

Clariana Barao 6%

Flavio Bolsonaro 6%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Lula

Lula

$197 Vol.

89%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$81 Vol.

9%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$70 Vol.

6%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$81 Vol.

6%

icon for Schriftsteller Augusto Cury

Schriftsteller Augusto Cury

$70 Vol.

20%

icon for Zema

Zema

$81 Vol.

20%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$81 Vol.

20%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$81 Vol.

7%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$81 Vol.

9%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$81 Vol.

17%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$81 Vol.

11%

icon for Samara

Samara

$81 Vol.

1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$70 Vol.

7%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Alagoas trader consensus for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting his established strength in Brazil’s Northeast among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. National polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and Nexus shows him leading first-round scenarios at 40-42%, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 32-35%, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury trailing in single digits. Lula’s renomination alongside Geraldo Alckmin and regional party infrastructure reinforce this edge, while Flávio Bolsonaro’s selection of Alagoas-based running mate Alfredo Gaspar offers limited counterweight. Minor candidates face structural barriers to statewide plurality. Upcoming debates and final campaign shifts remain the main variables before voting.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$1,138
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Alagoas trader consensus for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting his established strength in Brazil’s Northeast among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. National polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and Nexus shows him leading first-round scenarios at 40-42%, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 32-35%, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury trailing in single digits. Lula’s renomination alongside Geraldo Alckmin and regional party infrastructure reinforce this edge, while Flávio Bolsonaro’s selection of Alagoas-based running mate Alfredo Gaspar offers limited counterweight. Minor candidates face structural barriers to statewide plurality. Upcoming debates and final campaign shifts remain the main variables before voting.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$1,138
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraíba bekommen?

Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraíba bekommen?

84%
Ja
icon for Wird Rui Costa Pimenta bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien im Bundesdistrikt die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Rui Costa Pimenta bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien im Bundesdistrikt die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

44%
Ja
icon for Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl in São Paulo die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl in São Paulo die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

57%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Alagoas" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Lula" mit 89%, gefolgt von „Schriftsteller Augusto Cury" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 89¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Alagoas" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Alagoas" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Alagoas" ist „Lula" mit 89%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Schriftsteller Augusto Cury" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Alagoas" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.