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Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz

Flávio Bolsonaro 82%

Renan Santos 8.6%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 6.3%

Ronaldo Caiado 1.3%

Polymarket

$4,512,167 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro 82%

Renan Santos 8.6%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 6.3%

Ronaldo Caiado 1.3%

Polymarket

$4,512,167 Vol.

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$245,524 Vol.

82%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$1,098,240 Vol.

9%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$163,239 Vol.

6%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$351,594 Vol.

1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$131,635 Vol.

1%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$296,895 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$690,652 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$127,230 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$101,223 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$99,797 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$60,443 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$195,713 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$671,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$152,559 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$69,406 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$20,972 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$35,469 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a dominant position in trader pricing for second place due to his consistent second-place standing in recent polling aggregates, where he trails incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by double digits while outpacing all other declared candidates. As the Liberal Party nominee carrying the family political banner, his support consolidates right-leaning voters ahead of the October 4 first round. Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado register lower single-digit or low-double-digit intentions after their respective party conventions, leaving limited room for upward movement. Lula's lead remains stable but does not alter the second-place dynamic. Minor family-related controversies earlier in the year produced temporary dips for Flávio without shifting the broader ordering. Scheduled debates and final candidate registrations by mid-August represent the next potential catalysts for movement.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$4,512,167
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a dominant position in trader pricing for second place due to his consistent second-place standing in recent polling aggregates, where he trails incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by double digits while outpacing all other declared candidates. As the Liberal Party nominee carrying the family political banner, his support consolidates right-leaning voters ahead of the October 4 first round. Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado register lower single-digit or low-double-digit intentions after their respective party conventions, leaving limited room for upward movement. Lula's lead remains stable but does not alter the second-place dynamic. Minor family-related controversies earlier in the year produced temporary dips for Flávio without shifting the broader ordering. Scheduled debates and final candidate registrations by mid-August represent the next potential catalysts for movement.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$4,512,167
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva die brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 gewinnen?

Wird Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva die brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 gewinnen?

64%
Ja
icon for Wird ein Präsidentschaftskandidat in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Wahl einen eindeutigen Sieg erringen?

Wird ein Präsidentschaftskandidat in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Wahl einen eindeutigen Sieg erringen?

10%
Ja
icon for Wird Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva sich für die Stichwahl um das brasilianische Präsidentenamt qualifizieren?

Wird Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva sich für die Stichwahl um das brasilianische Präsidentenamt qualifizieren?

94%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Flávio Bolsonaro" mit 82%, gefolgt von „Renan Santos" mit 9%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 82¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 82% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $4.5 million generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 11, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 17 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" ist „Flávio Bolsonaro" mit 82%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 82% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Renan Santos" mit 9%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.