Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, holds the leading position in the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race, reflected in market pricing. Recent Quaest polling from late August shows her at 44% in first-round intentions against 36% for João Campos (PSB), her main challenger and former Recife mayor, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) at 1%. Lyra benefits from 68% government approval and broader municipal alliances across 139 of 184 localities. The official campaign period began in mid-August, with initial television broadcasts featuring Lyra’s emphasis on her administration’s record and Campos highlighting President Lula’s direct endorsement. These polling trends and structural advantages shape the current trader consensus ahead of the October vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRaquel Lyra 68%
João Campos 34%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$32,723 Vol.
$32,723 Vol.

Raquel Lyra
68%
João Campos
34%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 68%
João Campos 34%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$32,723 Vol.
$32,723 Vol.

Raquel Lyra
68%
João Campos
34%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, holds the leading position in the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race, reflected in market pricing. Recent Quaest polling from late August shows her at 44% in first-round intentions against 36% for João Campos (PSB), her main challenger and former Recife mayor, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) at 1%. Lyra benefits from 68% government approval and broader municipal alliances across 139 of 184 localities. The official campaign period began in mid-August, with initial television broadcasts featuring Lyra’s emphasis on her administration’s record and Campos highlighting President Lula’s direct endorsement. These polling trends and structural advantages shape the current trader consensus ahead of the October vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen