Skip to main content

Um in den USA zu traden, geh zu polymarket.us

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Sergipe
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Sergipe

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Sergipe
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Sergipe

Lula 95.5%

Flavio Bolsonaro 2.7%

Clariana Barao 1.1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$16,688 Vol.

Lula 95.5%

Flavio Bolsonaro 2.7%

Clariana Barao 1.1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$16,688 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$8,854 Vol.

96%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$837 Vol.

3%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$1,174 Vol.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$638 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$593 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$571 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$593 Vol.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$599 Vol.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$566 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$469 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$641 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position in Sergipe first-round voting stems from sustained high approval of his administration in the state, including 53-64% positive ratings in recent local surveys, alongside federal investments such as Petrobras projects exceeding R$72 billion announced in May 2026. Polls from Quaest and Real Time Big Data in August showed him at 53-60% support, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other contenders. Traders reflect this through elevated implied probability for a first-place finish on October 4. Potential shifts could arise from late campaign developments, stronger mobilization by right-leaning candidates, or changes in voter turnout among undecided segments, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the incumbent in the Northeast state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$16,688
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position in Sergipe first-round voting stems from sustained high approval of his administration in the state, including 53-64% positive ratings in recent local surveys, alongside federal investments such as Petrobras projects exceeding R$72 billion announced in May 2026. Polls from Quaest and Real Time Big Data in August showed him at 53-60% support, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other contenders. Traders reflect this through elevated implied probability for a first-place finish on October 4. Potential shifts could arise from late campaign developments, stronger mobilization by right-leaning candidates, or changes in voter turnout among undecided segments, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the incumbent in the Northeast state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$16,688
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

78%
Ja
icon for Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl in São Paulo die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl in São Paulo die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

93%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraíba bekommen?

Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraíba bekommen?

98%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Sergipe" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Lula" mit 96%, gefolgt von „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 96¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Sergipe" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $16.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Sergipe" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Sergipe" ist „Lula" mit 96%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Sergipe" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.