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icon for Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 1. Platz

Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 1. Platz

icon for Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 1. Platz

Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 1. Platz

Styvenson Valentim 63%

Rosália Fernandes 32%

Coronel Hélio 31%

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós 19%

Polymarket
NEU

Styvenson Valentim 63%

Rosália Fernandes 32%

Coronel Hélio 31%

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós 19%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$184 Vol.

63%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$104 Vol.

32%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$104 Vol.

31%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$104 Vol.

19%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$104 Vol.

19%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$104 Vol.

18%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$104 Vol.

14%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$85 Vol.

13%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$84 Vol.

7%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$104 Vol.

6%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$104 Vol.

6%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$104 Vol.

5%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$84 Vol.

2%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$105 Vol.

29%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Styvenson Valentim leads the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for first place at 63% trader consensus, driven by his status as an incumbent seeking reelection and consistent leads in mid-2026 polling averages.** Recent surveys from July and August show him at 16–23% voting intention, ahead of a fragmented field that includes Samanda de Lula (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Zenaide Maia (PSD), who typically register in the low-to-mid teens and often fall within the margin of error. Thirteen candidates were officially registered after party conventions in early August, with the two-seat contest scheduled for October 4. Valentim’s advantage stems from name recognition built during his 2019–2027 term, combined with limited recent shifts in voter preferences. Trailing names such as Motta (32%) and de Lula (28%) reflect secondary positioning in the same surveys, while lower-priced options face steeper structural barriers in a race where the top two advance. No major late-breaking events have altered this hierarchy in the past month.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,478
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Styvenson Valentim leads the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for first place at 63% trader consensus, driven by his status as an incumbent seeking reelection and consistent leads in mid-2026 polling averages.** Recent surveys from July and August show him at 16–23% voting intention, ahead of a fragmented field that includes Samanda de Lula (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Zenaide Maia (PSD), who typically register in the low-to-mid teens and often fall within the margin of error. Thirteen candidates were officially registered after party conventions in early August, with the two-seat contest scheduled for October 4. Valentim’s advantage stems from name recognition built during his 2019–2027 term, combined with limited recent shifts in voter preferences. Trailing names such as Motta (32%) and de Lula (28%) reflect secondary positioning in the same surveys, while lower-priced options face steeper structural barriers in a race where the top two advance. No major late-breaking events have altered this hierarchy in the past month.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,478
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 1. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 14 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Styvenson Valentim" mit 63%, gefolgt von „Rosália Fernandes" mit 33%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 63¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 1. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 1. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 14 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 1. Platz" ist „Styvenson Valentim" mit 63%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Rosália Fernandes" mit 33%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl Rio Grande do Norte: 1. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.