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icon for Senatswahl Rio Grande do Sul: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl Rio Grande do Sul: 2. Platz

icon for Senatswahl Rio Grande do Sul: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl Rio Grande do Sul: 2. Platz

Marcel Van Hattem 36%

Ric Jones 30%

Tania Peres 29%

Milton Cardoso 29%

Polymarket
NEU

Marcel Van Hattem 36%

Ric Jones 30%

Tania Peres 29%

Milton Cardoso 29%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$20 Vol.

36%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$20 Vol.

30%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$20 Vol.

29%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$20 Vol.

29%

icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$20 Vol.

25%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$20 Vol.

25%

icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$20 Vol.

19%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Sul for the October 2026 Senate election shows a fragmented field, with multiple candidates including Paulo Pimenta (PT), Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), and Frederico Antunes (PSD) appearing within the margin of error for the two available seats. This has kept implied probabilities for second place tightly clustered, as traders weigh shifting vote intentions and coalition dynamics ahead of the October ballot. Late July surveys highlighted technical ties among the leading contenders, with limited differentiation from endorsements or campaign events in the past month. Developments such as further polling releases, candidate withdrawals, or targeted regional campaigning could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences among centrist, left, and opposition blocs.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$260
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Sul for the October 2026 Senate election shows a fragmented field, with multiple candidates including Paulo Pimenta (PT), Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), and Frederico Antunes (PSD) appearing within the margin of error for the two available seats. This has kept implied probabilities for second place tightly clustered, as traders weigh shifting vote intentions and coalition dynamics ahead of the October ballot. Late July surveys highlighted technical ties among the leading contenders, with limited differentiation from endorsements or campaign events in the past month. Developments such as further polling releases, candidate withdrawals, or targeted regional campaigning could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences among centrist, left, and opposition blocs.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$260
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

42%
icon for Wird Zenaide Maia bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Zenaide Maia bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

39%
Ja
icon for Wird Monica Benicio bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio de Janeiro die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Monica Benicio bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Rio de Janeiro die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

35%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl Rio Grande do Sul: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marcel Van Hattem" mit 36%, gefolgt von „Ric Jones" mit 30%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 36¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl Rio Grande do Sul: 2. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl Rio Grande do Sul: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl Rio Grande do Sul: 2. Platz" ist „Marcel Van Hattem" mit 36%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Ric Jones" mit 30%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl Rio Grande do Sul: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.