Skip to main content
icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Piauí
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Piauí

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Piauí
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Piauí

Lula 59%

Rui Costa Pimenta 24%

Ronaldo Caiado 23%

Hertz Dias 22%

Polymarket
NEU

Lula 59%

Rui Costa Pimenta 24%

Ronaldo Caiado 23%

Hertz Dias 22%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Lula

Lula

$318 Vol.

59%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$44 Vol.

24%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$44 Vol.

23%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$44 Vol.

22%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$44 Vol.

21%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$110 Vol.

3%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$114 Vol.

3%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$110 Vol.

3%

icon for Zema

Zema

$110 Vol.

3%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$87 Vol.

1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$87 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$44 Vol.

23%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$44 Vol.

22%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position at 74% reflects Piauí's longstanding pattern as a northeastern stronghold for Workers' Party candidates, reinforced by his formal nomination with Geraldo Alckmin as running mate ahead of the October 4 first round. National polls from August place Lula in the 38-44% range overall, with Flávio Bolsonaro trailing at 28-35% and figures like Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema in low single digits, yet regional dynamics amplify Lula's edge in states with strong PT loyalty. Recent campaign events, including Lula's convention and opposition family reconciliations, have not altered this state-level consensus, while lower odds for alternatives like Hertz Dias or Pablo Marçal align with limited local traction and the fragmented right-wing field. Trader pricing captures these structural and polling factors as the race enters its final weeks.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$893
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position at 74% reflects Piauí's longstanding pattern as a northeastern stronghold for Workers' Party candidates, reinforced by his formal nomination with Geraldo Alckmin as running mate ahead of the October 4 first round. National polls from August place Lula in the 38-44% range overall, with Flávio Bolsonaro trailing at 28-35% and figures like Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema in low single digits, yet regional dynamics amplify Lula's edge in states with strong PT loyalty. Recent campaign events, including Lula's convention and opposition family reconciliations, have not altered this state-level consensus, while lower odds for alternatives like Hertz Dias or Pablo Marçal align with limited local traction and the fragmented right-wing field. Trader pricing captures these structural and polling factors as the race enters its final weeks.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$893
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraíba bekommen?

Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraíba bekommen?

49%
Ja
icon for Wird Ronaldo Caiado bei den nächsten Präsidentschaftswahlen in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen aus São Paulo erhalten?

Wird Ronaldo Caiado bei den nächsten Präsidentschaftswahlen in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen aus São Paulo erhalten?

46%
Ja
icon for Wird Edmilson Costa bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraná gewinnen?

Wird Edmilson Costa bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraná gewinnen?

44%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Piauí" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Lula" mit 59%, gefolgt von „Rui Costa Pimenta" mit 24%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 59¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 59% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Piauí" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Piauí" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Piauí" ist „Lula" mit 59%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 59% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Rui Costa Pimenta" mit 24%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Piauí" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.