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icon for Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Pará
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Pará

icon for Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Pará
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Pará

Hana Ghassan 58%

Dr. Daniel Santos 42%

Éder Mauro 1.2%

Dirceu Ten Caten <1%

Polymarket

$45,834 Vol.

Hana Ghassan 58%

Dr. Daniel Santos 42%

Éder Mauro 1.2%

Dirceu Ten Caten <1%

Polymarket

$45,834 Vol.

icon for Hana Ghassan

Hana Ghassan

$17,038 Vol.

58%

icon for Dr. Daniel Santos

Dr. Daniel Santos

$12,154 Vol.

42%

icon for Éder Mauro

Éder Mauro

$5,288 Vol.

1%

icon for Dirceu Ten Caten

Dirceu Ten Caten

$2,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$2,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogério Barra

Rogério Barra

$2,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulo Rocha

Paulo Rocha

$2,855 Vol.

<1%

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor of Pará, holds the strongest position in the 2026 race due to her recent polling lead and party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 first round. The latest AtlasIntel survey from early September shows her at 48.5% (52% of valid votes) against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, a margin that could allow a first-round victory under Brazilian electoral rules. Earlier surveys from Real Time and Quaest indicated tighter contests or technical ties, but Ghassan's advantage has widened with active campaigning, including regional events and coalition support. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency, approval ratings, and the low single-digit support for other registered candidates like Araceli (PSOL) when assessing probabilities. A decisive shift in undecided voters or late campaign developments could still narrow the gap before election day.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$45,834
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor of Pará, holds the strongest position in the 2026 race due to her recent polling lead and party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 first round. The latest AtlasIntel survey from early September shows her at 48.5% (52% of valid votes) against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, a margin that could allow a first-round victory under Brazilian electoral rules. Earlier surveys from Real Time and Quaest indicated tighter contests or technical ties, but Ghassan's advantage has widened with active campaigning, including regional events and coalition support. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency, approval ratings, and the low single-digit support for other registered candidates like Araceli (PSOL) when assessing probabilities. A decisive shift in undecided voters or late campaign developments could still narrow the gap before election day.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$45,834
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Pará" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Hana Ghassan" mit 58%, gefolgt von „Dr. Daniel Santos" mit 42%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 58¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 58% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Pará" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $45.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 9, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Pará" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Pará" ist „Hana Ghassan" mit 58%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 58% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Dr. Daniel Santos" mit 42%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Pará" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.