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icon for Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Paraíba

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Paraíba

icon for Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Paraíba

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Paraíba

Lucas Ribeiro 83%

Efraim Filho 10%

Cícero Lucena 6%

Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%

Polymarket

$62,633 Vol.

Lucas Ribeiro 83%

Efraim Filho 10%

Cícero Lucena 6%

Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%

Polymarket

$62,633 Vol.

icon for Lucas Ribeiro

Lucas Ribeiro

$18,664 Vol.

83%

icon for Efraim Filho

Efraim Filho

$14,308 Vol.

10%

icon for Cícero Lucena

Cícero Lucena

$20,569 Vol.

6%

icon for Nilvan Ferreira

Nilvan Ferreira

$894 Vol.

1%

icon for Flávio Lúcio

Flávio Lúcio

$876 Vol.

1%

icon for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo

$2,431 Vol.

1%

icon for Romero Rodrigues

Romero Rodrigues

$1,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Queiroga

Marcelo Queiroga

$3,381 Vol.

<1%

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4 first-round Paraíba gubernatorial election. His broad coalition spanning PP, UNIÃO, Republicanos, PSB, and PT allies provides organizational strength and resources, reinforced by recent polling averages showing him well ahead of challengers such as Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Campaign activity in September, including community walks and administrative visibility in João Pessoa, has sustained momentum. Lower-priced contenders face structural barriers including narrower coalitions and limited name recognition, while the short timeline to voting limits opportunities for major shifts absent late developments.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$62,633
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4 first-round Paraíba gubernatorial election. His broad coalition spanning PP, UNIÃO, Republicanos, PSB, and PT allies provides organizational strength and resources, reinforced by recent polling averages showing him well ahead of challengers such as Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Campaign activity in September, including community walks and administrative visibility in João Pessoa, has sustained momentum. Lower-priced contenders face structural barriers including narrower coalitions and limited name recognition, while the short timeline to voting limits opportunities for major shifts absent late developments.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$62,633
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Paraíba" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Lucas Ribeiro" mit 83%, gefolgt von „Efraim Filho" mit 10%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 83¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Paraíba" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $62.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 12, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Paraíba" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Paraíba" ist „Lucas Ribeiro" mit 83%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Efraim Filho" mit 10%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Paraíba" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.