Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4 first-round Paraíba gubernatorial election. His broad coalition spanning PP, UNIÃO, Republicanos, PSB, and PT allies provides organizational strength and resources, reinforced by recent polling averages showing him well ahead of challengers such as Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Campaign activity in September, including community walks and administrative visibility in João Pessoa, has sustained momentum. Lower-priced contenders face structural barriers including narrower coalitions and limited name recognition, while the short timeline to voting limits opportunities for major shifts absent late developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLucas Ribeiro 83%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$62,633 Vol.
$62,633 Vol.

Lucas Ribeiro
83%

Efraim Filho
10%

Cícero Lucena
6%

Nilvan Ferreira
1%

Flávio Lúcio
1%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%

Romero Rodrigues
<1%

Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 83%
Efraim Filho 10%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$62,633 Vol.
$62,633 Vol.

Lucas Ribeiro
83%

Efraim Filho
10%

Cícero Lucena
6%

Nilvan Ferreira
1%

Flávio Lúcio
1%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%

Romero Rodrigues
<1%

Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4 first-round Paraíba gubernatorial election. His broad coalition spanning PP, UNIÃO, Republicanos, PSB, and PT allies provides organizational strength and resources, reinforced by recent polling averages showing him well ahead of challengers such as Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL). Campaign activity in September, including community walks and administrative visibility in João Pessoa, has sustained momentum. Lower-priced contenders face structural barriers including narrower coalitions and limited name recognition, while the short timeline to voting limits opportunities for major shifts absent late developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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