Recent readings show Brazil's IPCA inflation easing to 4.52% year-over-year in early July 2026 from 4.8% prior, yet remaining near the upper end of the 1.5-4.5% target band amid persistent demand-driven pressures. The Central Bank has cut the Selic rate by 75 basis points this year to 14.25% with further quarter-point reductions expected, though Copom emphasizes maintaining a restrictive stance given supply shocks and fiscal uncertainties. Economist surveys reflect modest downward revisions to 2026 forecasts, clustering near 4-5%, while OECD projections stand at 4.4%. These dynamics underpin trader positioning in the 5.00-5.49% bucket, reflecting expectations that easing will not fully offset underlying price momentum before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert5,00-5,49 % 57.5%
5,50–5,99 % 23.6%
4,50–4,99 % 16.1%
4,00-4,49 % 2.3%
$93,767 Vol.
$93,767 Vol.
12. Jan. 2027
<3,00 %
2%
3,00-3,49 %
1%
3,50-3,99 %
2%
4,00-4,49 %
2%
4,50–4,99 %
16%
5,00-5,49 %
57%
5,50–5,99 %
24%
6,00-6,49 %
1%
6,50-6,99 %
<1%
7,00 %+
1%
5,00-5,49 % 57.5%
5,50–5,99 % 23.6%
4,50–4,99 % 16.1%
4,00-4,49 % 2.3%
$93,767 Vol.
$93,767 Vol.
12. Jan. 2027
<3,00 %
$5,692 Vol.
2%
3,00-3,49 %
$5,752 Vol.
1%
3,50-3,99 %
$13,155 Vol.
2%
4,00-4,49 %
$13,524 Vol.
2%
4,50–4,99 %
$15,102 Vol.
16%
5,00-5,49 %
$13,409 Vol.
57%
5,50–5,99 %
$9,293 Vol.
24%
6,00-6,49 %
$6,451 Vol.
1%
6,50-6,99 %
$6,625 Vol.
<1%
7,00 %+
$4,765 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent readings show Brazil's IPCA inflation easing to 4.52% year-over-year in early July 2026 from 4.8% prior, yet remaining near the upper end of the 1.5-4.5% target band amid persistent demand-driven pressures. The Central Bank has cut the Selic rate by 75 basis points this year to 14.25% with further quarter-point reductions expected, though Copom emphasizes maintaining a restrictive stance given supply shocks and fiscal uncertainties. Economist surveys reflect modest downward revisions to 2026 forecasts, clustering near 4-5%, while OECD projections stand at 4.4%. These dynamics underpin trader positioning in the 5.00-5.49% bucket, reflecting expectations that easing will not fully offset underlying price momentum before year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Markt eröffnet: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volumen
$93,767Enddatum
12. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent readings show Brazil's IPCA inflation easing to 4.52% year-over-year in early July 2026 from 4.8% prior, yet remaining near the upper end of the 1.5-4.5% target band amid persistent demand-driven pressures. The Central Bank has cut the Selic rate by 75 basis points this year to 14.25% with further quarter-point reductions expected, though Copom emphasizes maintaining a restrictive stance given supply shocks and fiscal uncertainties. Economist surveys reflect modest downward revisions to 2026 forecasts, clustering near 4-5%, while OECD projections stand at 4.4%. These dynamics underpin trader positioning in the 5.00-5.49% bucket, reflecting expectations that easing will not fully offset underlying price momentum before year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Volumen
$93,767Enddatum
12. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent readings show Brazil's IPCA inflation easing to 4.52% year-over-year in early July 2026 from 4.8% prior, yet remaining near the upper end of the 1.5-4.5% target band amid persistent demand-driven pressures. The Central Bank has cut the Selic rate by 75 basis points this year to 14.25% with further quarter-point reductions expected, though Copom emphasizes maintaining a restrictive stance given supply shocks and fiscal uncertainties. Economist surveys reflect modest downward revisions to 2026 forecasts, clustering near 4-5%, while OECD projections stand at 4.4%. These dynamics underpin trader positioning in the 5.00-5.49% bucket, reflecting expectations that easing will not fully offset underlying price momentum before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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