China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation market shows the 0.6–1.0% band leading at 43.5%, reflecting trader consensus around subdued price pressures amid persistent weak domestic demand, declining food costs (particularly pork amid ample supply), and softer non-food inflation. July 2026 data printed at just 0.5% year-over-year—the lowest reading in months—underscoring these trends, with core inflation near 0.9% and producer prices also moderating. Forecasts from institutions such as the Asian Development Bank center near 1.2%, while official targets remain around 2% and policy stimulus has yet to lift consumption meaningfully. Easing global energy costs and limited imported inflation further anchor expectations in the low-single-digit range, though seasonal spending or additional fiscal measures could still influence the final annual figure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertChina Jährliche Inflation 2026
0,6 – 1,0 % 44%
1,1 – 1,5 % 19%
0,1 – 0,5 % 17.9%
2,0-2,4 % 5.3%
$72,293 Vol.
$72,293 Vol.
<-1,0 %
3%
-0,9 – -0,5 %
2%
-0,4 – 0,0 %
2%
0,1 – 0,5 %
18%
0,6 – 1,0 %
44%
1,1 – 1,5 %
19%
1,6 – 2,0 %
4%
2,0-2,4 %
5%
2,5 %+
<1%
0,6 – 1,0 % 44%
1,1 – 1,5 % 19%
0,1 – 0,5 % 17.9%
2,0-2,4 % 5.3%
$72,293 Vol.
$72,293 Vol.
<-1,0 %
3%
-0,9 – -0,5 %
2%
-0,4 – 0,0 %
2%
0,1 – 0,5 %
18%
0,6 – 1,0 %
44%
1,1 – 1,5 %
19%
1,6 – 2,0 %
4%
2,0-2,4 %
5%
2,5 %+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Markt eröffnet: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation market shows the 0.6–1.0% band leading at 43.5%, reflecting trader consensus around subdued price pressures amid persistent weak domestic demand, declining food costs (particularly pork amid ample supply), and softer non-food inflation. July 2026 data printed at just 0.5% year-over-year—the lowest reading in months—underscoring these trends, with core inflation near 0.9% and producer prices also moderating. Forecasts from institutions such as the Asian Development Bank center near 1.2%, while official targets remain around 2% and policy stimulus has yet to lift consumption meaningfully. Easing global energy costs and limited imported inflation further anchor expectations in the low-single-digit range, though seasonal spending or additional fiscal measures could still influence the final annual figure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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