Recent quarterly data showing UK GDP growth slowing to 0.4% in Q2 2026 from 0.6% in Q1 has anchored trader sentiment for Q3 around modest expansion, with the leading 0.2–0.3% and 0.4–0.5% buckets reflecting this cooling momentum amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions. July CPI rising to 2.9% has reinforced concerns over squeezed real incomes and weaker household consumption, while a loosening labor market and subdued business surveys point to underlying growth near or below 0.3%. Bank of England projections and independent forecasts cluster near 0.9% for full-year 2026, underscoring the balance between resilient services output and downside risks from persistent inflation above 3% into year-end. Monthly GDP indicators and the next inflation release will serve as key near-term differentiators.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBIP-Wachstum in Großbritannien im dritten Quartal 2026 (QoQ)?
BIP-Wachstum in Großbritannien im dritten Quartal 2026 (QoQ)?
0,2–0,3 % 29%
0,4–0,5 % 26%
Negativ 18%
0,0–0,1 % 18%
NEU
NEU
11. Nov. 2026
Negativ
18%
0,0–0,1 %
18%
0,2–0,3 %
29%
0,4–0,5 %
26%
0,6–0,7 %
9%
0,8–0,9 %
1%
1,0 %+
3%
0,2–0,3 % 29%
0,4–0,5 % 26%
Negativ 18%
0,0–0,1 % 18%
NEU
NEU
11. Nov. 2026
Negativ
$1,945 Vol.
18%
0,0–0,1 %
$3,679 Vol.
18%
0,2–0,3 %
$2,044 Vol.
29%
0,4–0,5 %
$705 Vol.
26%
0,6–0,7 %
$203 Vol.
9%
0,8–0,9 %
$190 Vol.
1%
1,0 %+
$200 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent quarterly data showing UK GDP growth slowing to 0.4% in Q2 2026 from 0.6% in Q1 has anchored trader sentiment for Q3 around modest expansion, with the leading 0.2–0.3% and 0.4–0.5% buckets reflecting this cooling momentum amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions. July CPI rising to 2.9% has reinforced concerns over squeezed real incomes and weaker household consumption, while a loosening labor market and subdued business surveys point to underlying growth near or below 0.3%. Bank of England projections and independent forecasts cluster near 0.9% for full-year 2026, underscoring the balance between resilient services output and downside risks from persistent inflation above 3% into year-end. Monthly GDP indicators and the next inflation release will serve as key near-term differentiators.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
Volumen
$8,966Enddatum
12. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent quarterly data showing UK GDP growth slowing to 0.4% in Q2 2026 from 0.6% in Q1 has anchored trader sentiment for Q3 around modest expansion, with the leading 0.2–0.3% and 0.4–0.5% buckets reflecting this cooling momentum amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions. July CPI rising to 2.9% has reinforced concerns over squeezed real incomes and weaker household consumption, while a loosening labor market and subdued business surveys point to underlying growth near or below 0.3%. Bank of England projections and independent forecasts cluster near 0.9% for full-year 2026, underscoring the balance between resilient services output and downside risks from persistent inflation above 3% into year-end. Monthly GDP indicators and the next inflation release will serve as key near-term differentiators.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$8,966Enddatum
12. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent quarterly data showing UK GDP growth slowing to 0.4% in Q2 2026 from 0.6% in Q1 has anchored trader sentiment for Q3 around modest expansion, with the leading 0.2–0.3% and 0.4–0.5% buckets reflecting this cooling momentum amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions. July CPI rising to 2.9% has reinforced concerns over squeezed real incomes and weaker household consumption, while a loosening labor market and subdued business surveys point to underlying growth near or below 0.3%. Bank of England projections and independent forecasts cluster near 0.9% for full-year 2026, underscoring the balance between resilient services output and downside risks from persistent inflation above 3% into year-end. Monthly GDP indicators and the next inflation release will serve as key near-term differentiators.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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