Recent moderation in U.S. core inflation, with the July 2026 reading easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June and matching consensus, underpins trader positioning around 2.3–2.4% for August. The Cleveland Fed’s August nowcast of roughly 2.38% and continued softening in shelter costs (down to +3.2% annual) alongside subdued gains in services and goods categories reinforce expectations for further cooling. The Federal Reserve’s steady 3.50–3.75% policy range and focus on persistent but abating price pressures add to the closely balanced market-implied odds between 2.3% and 2.4%, with upcoming September data release serving as the next key catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2,4 % 39%
2,3 % 34%
2,5 % 21%
2,6 % 4.4%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
≤2,0 %
1%
2,1 %
<1%
2,2 %
4%
2,3 %
34%
2,4 %
39%
2,5 %
21%
2,6 %
4%
2,7 %
3%
2,8%
3%
≥2,9 %
2%
2,4 % 39%
2,3 % 34%
2,5 % 21%
2,6 % 4.4%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
≤2,0 %
$297 Vol.
1%
2,1 %
$252 Vol.
<1%
2,2 %
$370 Vol.
4%
2,3 %
$333 Vol.
34%
2,4 %
$1,958 Vol.
39%
2,5 %
$226 Vol.
21%
2,6 %
$878 Vol.
4%
2,7 %
$743 Vol.
3%
2,8%
$861 Vol.
3%
≥2,9 %
$393 Vol.
2%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. core inflation, with the July 2026 reading easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June and matching consensus, underpins trader positioning around 2.3–2.4% for August. The Cleveland Fed’s August nowcast of roughly 2.38% and continued softening in shelter costs (down to +3.2% annual) alongside subdued gains in services and goods categories reinforce expectations for further cooling. The Federal Reserve’s steady 3.50–3.75% policy range and focus on persistent but abating price pressures add to the closely balanced market-implied odds between 2.3% and 2.4%, with upcoming September data release serving as the next key catalyst.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volumen
$6,310Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. core inflation, with the July 2026 reading easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June and matching consensus, underpins trader positioning around 2.3–2.4% for August. The Cleveland Fed’s August nowcast of roughly 2.38% and continued softening in shelter costs (down to +3.2% annual) alongside subdued gains in services and goods categories reinforce expectations for further cooling. The Federal Reserve’s steady 3.50–3.75% policy range and focus on persistent but abating price pressures add to the closely balanced market-implied odds between 2.3% and 2.4%, with upcoming September data release serving as the next key catalyst.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$6,310Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. core inflation, with the July 2026 reading easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June and matching consensus, underpins trader positioning around 2.3–2.4% for August. The Cleveland Fed’s August nowcast of roughly 2.38% and continued softening in shelter costs (down to +3.2% annual) alongside subdued gains in services and goods categories reinforce expectations for further cooling. The Federal Reserve’s steady 3.50–3.75% policy range and focus on persistent but abating price pressures add to the closely balanced market-implied odds between 2.3% and 2.4%, with upcoming September data release serving as the next key catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen