Mexico's annual inflation trajectory, with the July 2026 reading easing to 3.12% year-over-year from 3.37% in June, underpins trader consensus around the 3.50%-3.99% bin for the full-year 2026 average. Broad-based moderation across food, energy, housing, and services components, alongside core inflation declining toward 3.95%, has reinforced expectations of continued convergence to Banxico's 3% target amid stable monetary policy. Central bank projections for a 3.8% Q3 average and analyst surveys pointing to 3.7%-3.9% year-end outcomes further align with these implied probabilities, though upside risks from services prices and any renewed non-core pressures could influence subsequent data releases through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert3,50 % bis 3,99 % 46.0%
4,00 % bis 4,49 % 29%
4,50 % bis 4,99 % 9%
3,00 % bis 3,49 % 7.3%
$63,934 Vol.
$63,934 Vol.
<2,50 %
1%
2,50 % bis 2,99 %
5%
3,00 % bis 3,49 %
7%
3,50 % bis 3,99 %
46%
4,00 % bis 4,49 %
29%
4,50 % bis 4,99 %
9%
5,00 % bis 5,49 %
5%
5,50 %+
2%
3,50 % bis 3,99 % 46.0%
4,00 % bis 4,49 % 29%
4,50 % bis 4,99 % 9%
3,00 % bis 3,49 % 7.3%
$63,934 Vol.
$63,934 Vol.
<2,50 %
1%
2,50 % bis 2,99 %
5%
3,00 % bis 3,49 %
7%
3,50 % bis 3,99 %
46%
4,00 % bis 4,49 %
29%
4,50 % bis 4,99 %
9%
5,00 % bis 5,49 %
5%
5,50 %+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Markt eröffnet: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico's annual inflation trajectory, with the July 2026 reading easing to 3.12% year-over-year from 3.37% in June, underpins trader consensus around the 3.50%-3.99% bin for the full-year 2026 average. Broad-based moderation across food, energy, housing, and services components, alongside core inflation declining toward 3.95%, has reinforced expectations of continued convergence to Banxico's 3% target amid stable monetary policy. Central bank projections for a 3.8% Q3 average and analyst surveys pointing to 3.7%-3.9% year-end outcomes further align with these implied probabilities, though upside risks from services prices and any renewed non-core pressures could influence subsequent data releases through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen