Recent oil price spikes tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted South Korea’s headline CPI to 2.6 percent year-over-year in April 2026, the highest reading since mid-2024 and above the Bank of Korea’s prior 2.2 percent baseline. This development has narrowed the gap between the market’s three leading 2026 annual inflation buckets, producing tightly clustered implied odds around 2.1–2.6 percent. Core inflation remains steadier near 2.2 percent, but persistent energy pass-through risks and the central bank’s recent hawkish signals— including deputy governor comments favoring consideration of rate hikes—have kept upside scenarios competitive. Traders are weighting the balance of further oil volatility against moderating domestic demand and policy offsets through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert3,0 %+ 43%
2,4 % bis 2,6 % 38.6%
1,5 % bis 1,7 % 8%
<1,5 % 5.8%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
<1,5 %
6%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
8%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
31%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
37%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
39%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
34%
3,0 %+
33%
3,0 %+ 43%
2,4 % bis 2,6 % 38.6%
1,5 % bis 1,7 % 8%
<1,5 % 5.8%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
<1,5 %
$1,136 Vol.
6%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
$959 Vol.
8%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
$108 Vol.
31%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
$159 Vol.
37%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
$145 Vol.
39%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
$139 Vol.
34%
3,0 %+
$8,428 Vol.
33%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent oil price spikes tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted South Korea’s headline CPI to 2.6 percent year-over-year in April 2026, the highest reading since mid-2024 and above the Bank of Korea’s prior 2.2 percent baseline. This development has narrowed the gap between the market’s three leading 2026 annual inflation buckets, producing tightly clustered implied odds around 2.1–2.6 percent. Core inflation remains steadier near 2.2 percent, but persistent energy pass-through risks and the central bank’s recent hawkish signals— including deputy governor comments favoring consideration of rate hikes—have kept upside scenarios competitive. Traders are weighting the balance of further oil volatility against moderating domestic demand and policy offsets through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$11,072Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent oil price spikes tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted South Korea’s headline CPI to 2.6 percent year-over-year in April 2026, the highest reading since mid-2024 and above the Bank of Korea’s prior 2.2 percent baseline. This development has narrowed the gap between the market’s three leading 2026 annual inflation buckets, producing tightly clustered implied odds around 2.1–2.6 percent. Core inflation remains steadier near 2.2 percent, but persistent energy pass-through risks and the central bank’s recent hawkish signals— including deputy governor comments favoring consideration of rate hikes—have kept upside scenarios competitive. Traders are weighting the balance of further oil volatility against moderating domestic demand and policy offsets through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$11,072Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent oil price spikes tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted South Korea’s headline CPI to 2.6 percent year-over-year in April 2026, the highest reading since mid-2024 and above the Bank of Korea’s prior 2.2 percent baseline. This development has narrowed the gap between the market’s three leading 2026 annual inflation buckets, producing tightly clustered implied odds around 2.1–2.6 percent. Core inflation remains steadier near 2.2 percent, but persistent energy pass-through risks and the central bank’s recent hawkish signals— including deputy governor comments favoring consideration of rate hikes—have kept upside scenarios competitive. Traders are weighting the balance of further oil volatility against moderating domestic demand and policy offsets through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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