Recent supply recovery from highly pathogenic avian influenza has driven U.S. egg prices sharply lower, positioning the $2.00–$2.25 range as the dominant market-implied outcome at 63 percent. Layer flocks have rebuilt to roughly 308 million hens, lifting production 2 percent year-over-year and creating a surplus that pushed retail prices down from February 2026 levels near $2.50 and March 2026 averages of $2.35. USDA projections for 2026 now center on $2.16 per dozen, reflecting sustained output gains and subdued demand after holiday peaks. Wholesale benchmarks have fallen below $0.40 per dozen in mid-May, reinforcing trader consensus that prices will settle in the low-$2 area absent fresh outbreaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$2.00–$2.25 63%
$2.25–$2.50 27%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$3.25–$3.50 2.2%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
2%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
63%
$2.25–$2.50
27%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
$2.00–$2.25 63%
$2.25–$2.50 27%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$3.25–$3.50 2.2%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
2%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
63%
$2.25–$2.50
27%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply recovery from highly pathogenic avian influenza has driven U.S. egg prices sharply lower, positioning the $2.00–$2.25 range as the dominant market-implied outcome at 63 percent. Layer flocks have rebuilt to roughly 308 million hens, lifting production 2 percent year-over-year and creating a surplus that pushed retail prices down from February 2026 levels near $2.50 and March 2026 averages of $2.35. USDA projections for 2026 now center on $2.16 per dozen, reflecting sustained output gains and subdued demand after holiday peaks. Wholesale benchmarks have fallen below $0.40 per dozen in mid-May, reinforcing trader consensus that prices will settle in the low-$2 area absent fresh outbreaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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