Argentina's May monthly CPI market reflects trader consensus for continued disinflation, with 41% implied probability on a 2.2–2.4% print leading after INDEC reported April's consumer prices rose just 2.6% month-over-month—down sharply from March's 3.4% and the first slowdown in 11 months—slightly above the 2.5% median forecast but reinforcing President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. Year-to-date inflation stands at 12.3%, with annual rates easing to 32.4%, aligning with central bank surveys projecting end-2026 inflation at 30.5%. Elevated odds across 2.2–3.9% bins (all above 26%) signal uncertainty from persistent price pressures in food and energy, ahead of the mid-June release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertArgentina Monthly Inflation - May
Argentina Monthly Inflation - May
2.2–2.4% 39%
3.1–3.3% 29%
2.5–2.7% 27%
3.4–3.6% 24%
NEU
$46,336 Vol.
NEU
$46,336 Vol.
11. Juni 2026
≤2,1 %
26%
2.2–2.4%
41%
2.5–2.7%
27%
2.8–3.0%
11%
3.1–3.3%
29%
3.4–3.6%
24%
3.7–3.9%
24%
4.0%+
11%
2.2–2.4% 39%
3.1–3.3% 29%
2.5–2.7% 27%
3.4–3.6% 24%
NEU
$46,336 Vol.
NEU
$46,336 Vol.
11. Juni 2026
≤2,1 %
$298 Vol.
26%
2.2–2.4%
$46,033 Vol.
41%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Vol.
27%
2.8–3.0%
$3 Vol.
11%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Vol.
29%
3.4–3.6%
$0 Vol.
24%
3.7–3.9%
$0 Vol.
24%
4.0%+
$1 Vol.
11%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's May monthly CPI market reflects trader consensus for continued disinflation, with 41% implied probability on a 2.2–2.4% print leading after INDEC reported April's consumer prices rose just 2.6% month-over-month—down sharply from March's 3.4% and the first slowdown in 11 months—slightly above the 2.5% median forecast but reinforcing President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. Year-to-date inflation stands at 12.3%, with annual rates easing to 32.4%, aligning with central bank surveys projecting end-2026 inflation at 30.5%. Elevated odds across 2.2–3.9% bins (all above 26%) signal uncertainty from persistent price pressures in food and energy, ahead of the mid-June release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volumen
$46,336Enddatum
11. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's May monthly CPI market reflects trader consensus for continued disinflation, with 41% implied probability on a 2.2–2.4% print leading after INDEC reported April's consumer prices rose just 2.6% month-over-month—down sharply from March's 3.4% and the first slowdown in 11 months—slightly above the 2.5% median forecast but reinforcing President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. Year-to-date inflation stands at 12.3%, with annual rates easing to 32.4%, aligning with central bank surveys projecting end-2026 inflation at 30.5%. Elevated odds across 2.2–3.9% bins (all above 26%) signal uncertainty from persistent price pressures in food and energy, ahead of the mid-June release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$46,336Enddatum
11. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's May monthly CPI market reflects trader consensus for continued disinflation, with 41% implied probability on a 2.2–2.4% print leading after INDEC reported April's consumer prices rose just 2.6% month-over-month—down sharply from March's 3.4% and the first slowdown in 11 months—slightly above the 2.5% median forecast but reinforcing President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. Year-to-date inflation stands at 12.3%, with annual rates easing to 32.4%, aligning with central bank surveys projecting end-2026 inflation at 30.5%. Elevated odds across 2.2–3.9% bins (all above 26%) signal uncertainty from persistent price pressures in food and energy, ahead of the mid-June release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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