Brazil's central bank has maintained a data-dependent easing bias following consecutive 25-basis-point Selic cuts to 14.50% in April, positioning a further reduction at the June Copom meeting as the market-implied consensus with a 76.0% probability. Persistent moderation in GDP growth and a still-restrictive real policy rate support continued calibration toward the 3% inflation target, even as 2026 expectations hover near 4.9% amid elevated oil-price risks from Middle East tensions. The committee's April minutes emphasized upside inflation surprises and the need for incoming data, including the full April IPCA release, to guide the pace of any additional easing before the mid-June decision.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEntscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?
Senkung 76%
Keine Änderung 23.3%
Erhöhung <1%
$140,225 Vol.
$140,225 Vol.
Erhöhung
1%
Keine Änderung
23%
Senkung
76%
Senkung 76%
Keine Änderung 23.3%
Erhöhung <1%
$140,225 Vol.
$140,225 Vol.
Erhöhung
1%
Keine Änderung
23%
Senkung
76%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's central bank has maintained a data-dependent easing bias following consecutive 25-basis-point Selic cuts to 14.50% in April, positioning a further reduction at the June Copom meeting as the market-implied consensus with a 76.0% probability. Persistent moderation in GDP growth and a still-restrictive real policy rate support continued calibration toward the 3% inflation target, even as 2026 expectations hover near 4.9% amid elevated oil-price risks from Middle East tensions. The committee's April minutes emphasized upside inflation surprises and the need for incoming data, including the full April IPCA release, to guide the pace of any additional easing before the mid-June decision.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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