Early-week TSA checkpoint data through mid-May has anchored trader sentiment around the 17.5-18 million range for the May 11-17 period, fueled by a strong post-Mother’s Day surge that included a Monday peak near 2.66 million screenings and a cumulative 7.2 million travelers by Wednesday. Sustained 2026 travel demand, bolstered by seasonal leisure patterns and robust domestic mobility, keeps daily averages above 2.4 million despite typical midweek softening. Historical weekend spikes often push Friday and Sunday totals past 2.5 million, supporting projections near 17.7 million overall. With remaining daily releases through May 17 still pending, momentum favors the leading bin while leaving room for minor adjustments if late-week figures soften.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert17.5-18m 66%
18-18.5m 42%
<16.5m 18.4%
17-17.5m 14%
<16.5m
18%
16.5-17m
5%
17-17.5m
14%
17.5-18m
66%
18-18.5m
42%
>18.5m
24%
17.5-18m 66%
18-18.5m 42%
<16.5m 18.4%
17-17.5m 14%
<16.5m
18%
16.5-17m
5%
17-17.5m
14%
17.5-18m
66%
18-18.5m
42%
>18.5m
24%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Markt eröffnet: May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early-week TSA checkpoint data through mid-May has anchored trader sentiment around the 17.5-18 million range for the May 11-17 period, fueled by a strong post-Mother’s Day surge that included a Monday peak near 2.66 million screenings and a cumulative 7.2 million travelers by Wednesday. Sustained 2026 travel demand, bolstered by seasonal leisure patterns and robust domestic mobility, keeps daily averages above 2.4 million despite typical midweek softening. Historical weekend spikes often push Friday and Sunday totals past 2.5 million, supporting projections near 17.7 million overall. With remaining daily releases through May 17 still pending, momentum favors the leading bin while leaving room for minor adjustments if late-week figures soften.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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