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Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

436 - 438k 24%

434 - 436k 22%

442 - 445k 18%

432 - 434k 17%

Polymarket
NEU

436 - 438k 24%

434 - 436k 22%

442 - 445k 18%

432 - 434k 17%

Polymarket
NEU

<432k

$0 Vol.

13%

432 - 434k

$78 Vol.

17%

434 - 436k

$78 Vol.

21%

436 - 438k

$87 Vol.

22%

438 - 440k

$0 Vol.

16%

440 - 442k

$0 Vol.

13%

442 - 445k

$40 Vol.

11%

>445k

$37 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.2% continue to constrain buyer demand and moderate U.S. median home value growth, with March 2026 Redfin data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise to $436,523 amid only modest existing-home sales gains of 0.2% in April. Traders appear to price the May 31 reading near the recent $434k–$438k cluster because inventory has edged higher while price appreciation slows to its lowest pace in years, creating a narrow band of outcomes. Key swing factors include any further inventory build or seasonal demand shifts ahead of the next housing reports, as real-capital positioning reflects consensus that persistent rate pressure will limit upside beyond current levels.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Volumen
$319
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.2% continue to constrain buyer demand and moderate U.S. median home value growth, with March 2026 Redfin data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise to $436,523 amid only modest existing-home sales gains of 0.2% in April. Traders appear to price the May 31 reading near the recent $434k–$438k cluster because inventory has edged higher while price appreciation slows to its lowest pace in years, creating a narrow band of outcomes. Key swing factors include any further inventory build or seasonal demand shifts ahead of the next housing reports, as real-capital positioning reflects consensus that persistent rate pressure will limit upside beyond current levels.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Volumen
$319
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „436 - 438k" mit 22%, gefolgt von „434 - 436k" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 22¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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