Elevated energy prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions, including renewed US-Iran hostilities, represent the dominant driver positioning the 3.1%+ outcome as the market leader at 59.8% implied probability. July 2026 HICP inflation rose to 2.9%, with energy components accelerating notably and feeding into services and goods prices, while core measures held near 2.5%. The ECB’s June 2026 staff projections placed average headline inflation at 3.0% for the year, incorporating upward revisions tied to commodity shocks, and the professional forecasters survey aligned closely at 2.7% amid balanced-to-upside risks. Recent data-dependent ECB rate hikes and persistent above-target readings reinforce trader consensus that 2026 outcomes will likely exceed 3%, though further de-escalation in energy markets could still moderate the path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJährliche Inflation der Eurozone 2026
Jährliche Inflation der Eurozone 2026
3,1 %+ 59.7%
2,8-3,0 % 15.7%
<1,0 % 7.8%
2,5–2,7 % 6.7%
$104,883 Vol.
$104,883 Vol.
19. Jan. 2027
<1,0 %
8%
1,0–1,2 %
5%
1,3–1,5 %
1%
1,6–1,8 %
5%
1,9–2,1 %
<1%
2,2–2,4 %
5%
2,5–2,7 %
7%
2,8-3,0 %
16%
3,1 %+
60%
3,1 %+ 59.7%
2,8-3,0 % 15.7%
<1,0 % 7.8%
2,5–2,7 % 6.7%
$104,883 Vol.
$104,883 Vol.
19. Jan. 2027
<1,0 %
$4,299 Vol.
8%
1,0–1,2 %
$16,099 Vol.
5%
1,3–1,5 %
$16,210 Vol.
1%
1,6–1,8 %
$3,303 Vol.
5%
1,9–2,1 %
$25,461 Vol.
<1%
2,2–2,4 %
$4,216 Vol.
5%
2,5–2,7 %
$7,289 Vol.
7%
2,8-3,0 %
$16,551 Vol.
16%
3,1 %+
$11,455 Vol.
60%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlElevated energy prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions, including renewed US-Iran hostilities, represent the dominant driver positioning the 3.1%+ outcome as the market leader at 59.8% implied probability. July 2026 HICP inflation rose to 2.9%, with energy components accelerating notably and feeding into services and goods prices, while core measures held near 2.5%. The ECB’s June 2026 staff projections placed average headline inflation at 3.0% for the year, incorporating upward revisions tied to commodity shocks, and the professional forecasters survey aligned closely at 2.7% amid balanced-to-upside risks. Recent data-dependent ECB rate hikes and persistent above-target readings reinforce trader consensus that 2026 outcomes will likely exceed 3%, though further de-escalation in energy markets could still moderate the path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Markt eröffnet: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$104,883Enddatum
19. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlElevated energy prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions, including renewed US-Iran hostilities, represent the dominant driver positioning the 3.1%+ outcome as the market leader at 59.8% implied probability. July 2026 HICP inflation rose to 2.9%, with energy components accelerating notably and feeding into services and goods prices, while core measures held near 2.5%. The ECB’s June 2026 staff projections placed average headline inflation at 3.0% for the year, incorporating upward revisions tied to commodity shocks, and the professional forecasters survey aligned closely at 2.7% amid balanced-to-upside risks. Recent data-dependent ECB rate hikes and persistent above-target readings reinforce trader consensus that 2026 outcomes will likely exceed 3%, though further de-escalation in energy markets could still moderate the path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volumen
$104,883Enddatum
19. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elevated energy prices stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions, including renewed US-Iran hostilities, represent the dominant driver positioning the 3.1%+ outcome as the market leader at 59.8% implied probability. July 2026 HICP inflation rose to 2.9%, with energy components accelerating notably and feeding into services and goods prices, while core measures held near 2.5%. The ECB’s June 2026 staff projections placed average headline inflation at 3.0% for the year, incorporating upward revisions tied to commodity shocks, and the professional forecasters survey aligned closely at 2.7% amid balanced-to-upside risks. Recent data-dependent ECB rate hikes and persistent above-target readings reinforce trader consensus that 2026 outcomes will likely exceed 3%, though further de-escalation in energy markets could still moderate the path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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