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icon for Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Finanzen·Japan

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

icon for Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Finanzen·Japan

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

3.0%+ 66.3%

2.8-3.0% 21.2%

2.4-2.6% 3.6%

2.6-2.8% 2.4%

Polymarket

$29,743 Vol.

3.0%+ 66.3%

2.8-3.0% 21.2%

2.4-2.6% 3.6%

2.6-2.8% 2.4%

Polymarket

$29,743 Vol.

<2.0%

$1,370 Vol.

1%

2.0-2.2%

$1,701 Vol.

2%

2.2-2.4%

$1,263 Vol.

<1%

2.4-2.6%

$2,562 Vol.

4%

2.6-2.8%

$2,556 Vol.

2%

2.8-3.0%

$8,716 Vol.

13%

3.0%+

$11,574 Vol.

66%

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.Recent surges in global oil prices amid Middle East supply disruptions have intensified inflation concerns, lifting Japan's 10-year government bond yield to a 30-year high near 3.03% as of mid-September 2026. This move aligns with rising U.S. Treasury yields above 5% and market expectations for the Bank of Japan to hike its policy rate to 1.25% at its September meeting, accelerating monetary policy normalization from ultra-loose levels. Expansionary fiscal measures under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, including elevated defense and spending plans, are adding term premium pressure through anticipated increases in JGB supply. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.3% implied probability for a 3.0%+ close by year-end incorporates these factors alongside the current yield trajectory and limited near-term easing signals.

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.

The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
Volumen
$29,743
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.Recent surges in global oil prices amid Middle East supply disruptions have intensified inflation concerns, lifting Japan's 10-year government bond yield to a 30-year high near 3.03% as of mid-September 2026. This move aligns with rising U.S. Treasury yields above 5% and market expectations for the Bank of Japan to hike its policy rate to 1.25% at its September meeting, accelerating monetary policy normalization from ultra-loose levels. Expansionary fiscal measures under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, including elevated defense and spending plans, are adding term premium pressure through anticipated increases in JGB supply. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.3% implied probability for a 3.0%+ close by year-end incorporates these factors alongside the current yield trajectory and limited near-term easing signals.

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.

The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
Volumen
$29,743
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Rendite der 10-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe vor 2027 unter 3,8 % fallen?

Wird die Rendite der 10-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe vor 2027 unter 3,8 % fallen?

5%
Ja
icon for Wird die Rendite der 10-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe vor 2027 5,1 % erreichen?

Wird die Rendite der 10-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe vor 2027 5,1 % erreichen?

73%
Ja
icon for Wird die Rendite der 30-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe vor 2027 5,40 % erreichen?

Wird die Rendite der 30-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe vor 2027 5,40 % erreichen?

93%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „3.0%+" mit 66%, gefolgt von „2.8-3.0%" mit 13%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 66¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026" ist „3.0%+" mit 66%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „2.8-3.0%" mit 13%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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