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icon for Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Finanzen·Japan

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

icon for Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Finanzen·Japan

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

3.0%+ 66.3%

2.8-3.0% 16.8%

2.4-2.6% 6.3%

2.2-2.4% 4.3%

Polymarket

$29,291 Vol.

3.0%+ 66.3%

2.8-3.0% 16.8%

2.4-2.6% 6.3%

2.2-2.4% 4.3%

Polymarket

$29,291 Vol.

<2.0%

$1,360 Vol.

1%

2.0-2.2%

$1,684 Vol.

2%

2.2-2.4%

$1,253 Vol.

4%

2.4-2.6%

$2,552 Vol.

6%

2.6-2.8%

$2,546 Vol.

3%

2.8-3.0%

$8,706 Vol.

17%

3.0%+

$11,189 Vol.

66%

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.The Bank of Japan's ongoing policy normalization, including the June 2026 hike to a 1.0% short-term rate and expectations for a further increase to 1.25% at the September 17-18 meeting, represents the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a Japan 10-year yield at or above 3.0% by year-end. Persistent inflation near 1.9% year-over-year in July, fueled by energy prices and Middle East tensions, has supported higher Treasury yields and reduced bond purchases, lifting the 10-year benchmark to approximately 2.99% as of mid-September. Traders' capital at risk reflects consensus on continued accommodation adjustments through late 2026, though global risk sentiment and any moderation in CPI data could influence the path.

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.

The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
Volumen
$29,291
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.The Bank of Japan's ongoing policy normalization, including the June 2026 hike to a 1.0% short-term rate and expectations for a further increase to 1.25% at the September 17-18 meeting, represents the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a Japan 10-year yield at or above 3.0% by year-end. Persistent inflation near 1.9% year-over-year in July, fueled by energy prices and Middle East tensions, has supported higher Treasury yields and reduced bond purchases, lifting the 10-year benchmark to approximately 2.99% as of mid-September. Traders' capital at risk reflects consensus on continued accommodation adjustments through late 2026, though global risk sentiment and any moderation in CPI data could influence the path.

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.

The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
Volumen
$29,291
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Rendite der 10-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe im September unter 4,76 % fallen?

Wird die Rendite der 10-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe im September unter 4,76 % fallen?

7%
Ja
icon for Wird die Rendite der 10-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe vor 2027 unter 3,8 % fallen?

Wird die Rendite der 10-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe vor 2027 unter 3,8 % fallen?

5%
Ja
icon for Wird die Rendite der 10-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe vor 2027 5,1 % erreichen?

Wird die Rendite der 10-jährigen US-Staatsanleihe vor 2027 5,1 % erreichen?

88%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „3.0%+" mit 66%, gefolgt von „2.8-3.0%" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 66¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $29.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 10, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026" ist „3.0%+" mit 66%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „2.8-3.0%" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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