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icon for Senatswahl in Pernambuco: 1. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl in Pernambuco: 1. Platz

icon for Senatswahl in Pernambuco: 1. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl in Pernambuco: 1. Platz

Marília Arraes 77%

Samuel Timoteo 14%

Túlio Gadêlha 11.9%

Pastor Gilvan Costa 11.6%

Polymarket
NEU

Marília Arraes 77%

Samuel Timoteo 14%

Túlio Gadêlha 11.9%

Pastor Gilvan Costa 11.6%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$281 Vol.

77%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$123 Vol.

13%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$116 Vol.

12%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$116 Vol.

12%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$140 Vol.

7%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$116 Vol.

5%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$116 Vol.

5%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$116 Vol.

5%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$113 Vol.

2%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$116 Vol.

19%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$113 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$113 Vol.

-

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,581
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,581
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Gorett Bitu bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Pernambuco die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Gorett Bitu bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Pernambuco die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

27%
Ja
icon for Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

59%
icon for Wird Tiago die meisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt gewinnen?

Wird Tiago die meisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt gewinnen?

27%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Pernambuco: 1. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marília Arraes" mit 77%, gefolgt von „Eduardo da Fonte" mit 37%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 77¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl in Pernambuco: 1. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl in Pernambuco: 1. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Pernambuco: 1. Platz" ist „Marília Arraes" mit 77%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Eduardo da Fonte" mit 37%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl in Pernambuco: 1. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.