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Welt·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz
Welt·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz

Romeu Zema 40%

Renan Santos 35%

Ronaldo Caiado 18%

Michelle Bolsonaro 5.6%

Polymarket

$279,654 Vol.

Romeu Zema 40%

Renan Santos 35%

Ronaldo Caiado 18%

Michelle Bolsonaro 5.6%

Polymarket

$279,654 Vol.

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$10,629 Vol.

40%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$61,950 Vol.

35%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$16,728 Vol.

18%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$4,817 Vol.

6%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$7,036 Vol.

5%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$14,354 Vol.

4%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$83 Vol.

2%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$83 Vol.

2%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$6,116 Vol.

7%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$5,267 Vol.

1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$4,328 Vol.

1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$4,092 Vol.

1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$4,260 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$2,559 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$39,622 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$93,195 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$4,536 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The contest for third place in Brazil's 2026 presidential election first round remains closely contested among center-right and centrist figures, with Romeu Zema holding a narrow edge in trader consensus over Renan Santos. Zema's positioning stems from his record as Minas Gerais governor and established appeal among voters seeking alternatives outside the dominant PT-Bolsonaro divide. Santos benefits from momentum in emerging opposition circles, while Ronaldo Caiado draws regional support from Goiás but trails amid broader coalition negotiations. Lower-probability names such as Camilo Santana and members of the Bolsonaro family reflect limited national traction at this stage. Upcoming party conventions, state-level polling shifts, and alliance announcements in the coming months could separate the leaders by clarifying viable paths to a competitive showing on election night.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$279,654
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The contest for third place in Brazil's 2026 presidential election first round remains closely contested among center-right and centrist figures, with Romeu Zema holding a narrow edge in trader consensus over Renan Santos. Zema's positioning stems from his record as Minas Gerais governor and established appeal among voters seeking alternatives outside the dominant PT-Bolsonaro divide. Santos benefits from momentum in emerging opposition circles, while Ronaldo Caiado draws regional support from Goiás but trails amid broader coalition negotiations. Lower-probability names such as Camilo Santana and members of the Bolsonaro family reflect limited national traction at this stage. Upcoming party conventions, state-level polling shifts, and alliance announcements in the coming months could separate the leaders by clarifying viable paths to a competitive showing on election night.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$279,654
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Romeu Zema" mit 40%, gefolgt von „Renan Santos" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 40¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $279.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 11, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 17 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" ist „Romeu Zema" mit 40%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Renan Santos" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.