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Welt·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz
Welt·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz

Renan Santos 58%

Ronaldo Caiado 34%

Romeu Zema 5.3%

Flávio Bolsonaro 2.9%

Polymarket

$537,085 Vol.

Renan Santos 58%

Ronaldo Caiado 34%

Romeu Zema 5.3%

Flávio Bolsonaro 2.9%

Polymarket

$537,085 Vol.

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$179,413 Vol.

58%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$50,679 Vol.

34%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$22,215 Vol.

5%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$24,637 Vol.

3%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$11,263 Vol.

1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$8,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$45,438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$12,808 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$103,512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$10,096 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$20,656 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$7,754 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling averages ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first round show Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear top two, leaving third place to compete among lower-polling right-wing options. Renan Santos, the Mission Party candidate and former Free Brazil Movement organizer, has posted the strongest gains among these contenders, particularly with younger voters, through consistent social-media outreach and explicit positioning further right than Flávio Bolsonaro. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, retains solid name recognition and institutional backing but trails Santos in most recent surveys. Romeu Zema and other listed figures register even lower support, consistent with their single-digit or sub-3% polling levels. Traders therefore assign Santos the highest implied probability for third place while treating the outcome as still sensitive to final debate performances and any late consolidation on the right.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$537,085
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling averages ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first round show Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear top two, leaving third place to compete among lower-polling right-wing options. Renan Santos, the Mission Party candidate and former Free Brazil Movement organizer, has posted the strongest gains among these contenders, particularly with younger voters, through consistent social-media outreach and explicit positioning further right than Flávio Bolsonaro. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, retains solid name recognition and institutional backing but trails Santos in most recent surveys. Romeu Zema and other listed figures register even lower support, consistent with their single-digit or sub-3% polling levels. Traders therefore assign Santos the highest implied probability for third place while treating the outcome as still sensitive to final debate performances and any late consolidation on the right.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$537,085
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den zweiten Platz belegen?

Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den zweiten Platz belegen?

83%
Ja
icon for Wird Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva die brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 gewinnen?

Wird Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva die brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 gewinnen?

64%
Ja
icon for Wird ein Präsidentschaftskandidat in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Wahl einen eindeutigen Sieg erringen?

Wird ein Präsidentschaftskandidat in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Wahl einen eindeutigen Sieg erringen?

13%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Renan Santos" mit 58%, gefolgt von „Ronaldo Caiado" mit 34%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 58¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 58% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $537.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 11, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 17 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" ist „Renan Santos" mit 58%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 58% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Ronaldo Caiado" mit 34%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.