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Wahlen·Brasilien

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro

icon for Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro
Wahlen·Brasilien

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro

Chico Machado 22%

Nicola Miccione 18%

Fred Pacheco 14.3%

Eduardo Pazuello 13%

Polymarket
NEU

Chico Machado 22%

Nicola Miccione 18%

Fred Pacheco 14.3%

Eduardo Pazuello 13%

Polymarket
NEU

Chico Machado

$243 Vol.

22%

Nicola Miccione

$165 Vol.

18%

Fred Pacheco

$217 Vol.

14%

Eduardo Pazuello

$56 Vol.

13%

Felipe Curi

$1,520 Vol.

11%

André Português

$192 Vol.

10%

Anthony Garotinho

$1,100 Vol.

8%

Tarcísio Motta

$192 Vol.

6%

Lindbergh Farias

$142 Vol.

5%

André Ceciliano

$2,618 Vol.

5%

Wilson Witzel

$242 Vol.

4%

Dr. Luizinho

$2,022 Vol.

2%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field for the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race keeps individual probabilities low, with no candidate consolidating a clear lead as parties negotiate alliances ahead of October balloting and any indirect election for the remainder of the current term. Ineligibility rulings affecting Cláudio Castro have opened maneuvering room for figures such as Chico Machado, Nicola Miccione, Fred Pacheco, and Felipe Curi, while Eduardo Paes draws stronger support in early statewide surveys through urban and crossover appeal. Recent developments include the exoneration of Miccione to pursue a caretaker role and coalition talks linking PSD-aligned groups with Solidariedade and PL factions, underscoring how endorsement patterns and regional vote blocs in the Baixada Fluminense and interior municipalities could shift momentum before formal nominations. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on upcoming convention outcomes and head-to-head polling trends.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$8,707
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field for the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race keeps individual probabilities low, with no candidate consolidating a clear lead as parties negotiate alliances ahead of October balloting and any indirect election for the remainder of the current term. Ineligibility rulings affecting Cláudio Castro have opened maneuvering room for figures such as Chico Machado, Nicola Miccione, Fred Pacheco, and Felipe Curi, while Eduardo Paes draws stronger support in early statewide surveys through urban and crossover appeal. Recent developments include the exoneration of Miccione to pursue a caretaker role and coalition talks linking PSD-aligned groups with Solidariedade and PL factions, underscoring how endorsement patterns and regional vote blocs in the Baixada Fluminense and interior municipalities could shift momentum before formal nominations. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on upcoming convention outcomes and head-to-head polling trends.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$8,707
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Chico Machado" mit 22%, gefolgt von „Nicola Miccione" mit 18%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 22¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 10, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ist „Chico Machado" mit 22%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Nicola Miccione" mit 18%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.