Skip to main content
icon for Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro
Wahlen·Brasilien

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro

icon for Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro
Wahlen·Brasilien

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro

Eduardo Paes 93.5%

Oberst Busnello 2.8%

Anthony Garotinho 1.9%

Douglas Ruas 1.9%

Polymarket

$283,640 Vol.

Eduardo Paes 93.5%

Oberst Busnello 2.8%

Anthony Garotinho 1.9%

Douglas Ruas 1.9%

Polymarket

$283,640 Vol.

Eduardo Paes

$37,819 Vol.

93%

Oberst Busnello

$5,079 Vol.

3%

Anthony Garotinho

$9,058 Vol.

2%

Douglas Ruas

$11,556 Vol.

2%

Rafa Luz

$5,230 Vol.

1%

Felipe Curi

$17,775 Vol.

<1%

Fred Pacheco

$133,056 Vol.

<1%

Tarcísio Motta

$8,891 Vol.

<1%

Wilson Witzel

$10,583 Vol.

<1%

Lindbergh Farias

$6,102 Vol.

<1%

André Ceciliano

$10,694 Vol.

<1%

Dr. Luizinho

$8,451 Vol.

<1%

Chico Machado

$7,554 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Pazuello

$2,717 Vol.

<1%

Nicola Miccione

$5,387 Vol.

<1%

André Português

$3,688 Vol.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race with a commanding implied probability in trader consensus, driven by consistent polling advantages of 34-60 points in first-round and runoff scenarios from July surveys by Quaest, Gerp, and others. His resignation as mayor in March 2026 to pursue the PSD nomination, combined with term limits barring incumbent Cláudio Castro, has allowed broad coalition-building across parties and regions ahead of the October 4 vote. Name recognition from prior mayoral terms and early convention momentum further support his position. Late developments such as opposition consolidation, unexpected polling shifts, or major campaign events could narrow the gap, though current data shows limited movement among trailing candidates like Douglas Ruas and Anthony Garotinho.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$283,640
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race with a commanding implied probability in trader consensus, driven by consistent polling advantages of 34-60 points in first-round and runoff scenarios from July surveys by Quaest, Gerp, and others. His resignation as mayor in March 2026 to pursue the PSD nomination, combined with term limits barring incumbent Cláudio Castro, has allowed broad coalition-building across parties and regions ahead of the October 4 vote. Name recognition from prior mayoral terms and early convention momentum further support his position. Late developments such as opposition consolidation, unexpected polling shifts, or major campaign events could narrow the gap, though current data shows limited movement among trailing candidates like Douglas Ruas and Anthony Garotinho.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$283,640
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

62%
icon for Wird Hana Ghassan die Wahl zur Gouverneurin von Pará gewinnen?

Wird Hana Ghassan die Wahl zur Gouverneurin von Pará gewinnen?

48%
Ja
icon for Wird Lucas Ribeiro die Gouverneurswahl in Paraíba gewinnen?

Wird Lucas Ribeiro die Gouverneurswahl in Paraíba gewinnen?

72%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Eduardo Paes" mit 93%, gefolgt von „Oberst Busnello" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 93¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 93% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $283.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 9, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 16 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ist „Eduardo Paes" mit 93%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 93% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Oberst Busnello" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.