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icon for Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro

icon for Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro

Eduardo Paes 83.2%

Douglas Ruas 17.3%

Rafa Luz <1%

Dr. Luizinho <1%

Polymarket

$501,458 Vol.

Eduardo Paes 83.2%

Douglas Ruas 17.3%

Rafa Luz <1%

Dr. Luizinho <1%

Polymarket

$501,458 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Paes

Eduardo Paes

$86,791 Vol.

83%

icon for Douglas Ruas

Douglas Ruas

$42,914 Vol.

17%

icon for Rafa Luz

Rafa Luz

$22,104 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dr. Luizinho

Dr. Luizinho

$18,566 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Pazuello

Eduardo Pazuello

$3,826 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcísio Motta

Tarcísio Motta

$17,339 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anthony Garotinho

Anthony Garotinho

$29,367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wilson Witzel

Wilson Witzel

$19,853 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Português

André Português

$3,688 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindbergh Farias

Lindbergh Farias

$15,600 Vol.

<1%

icon for Felipe Curi

Felipe Curi

$36,352 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicola Miccione

Nicola Miccione

$5,387 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Ceciliano

André Ceciliano

$19,911 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chico Machado

Chico Machado

$16,095 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Pacheco

Fred Pacheco

$142,002 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oberst Busnello

Oberst Busnello

$21,664 Vol.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds an 83% implied probability in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial market due to his consistent lead in recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round. As the four-time former mayor of the capital with a broad coalition that includes PT backing, Paes registers 37–43% first-round support in Datafolha, Quaest, and other surveys from early to mid-September, placing him 18–21 points ahead of main challenger Douglas Ruas (PL). Ruas, backed by Flávio Bolsonaro, has gained modestly to the mid-20s but trails in every scenario tested, including potential runoffs. Anthony Garotinho’s candidacy was rejected by the TRE-RJ in mid-September over prior political-rights suspension. Traders appear to price Paes’s path to a possible first-round victory or strong runoff position as the dominant factor, with all other registered candidates remaining in single digits or lower.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$501,458
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds an 83% implied probability in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial market due to his consistent lead in recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round. As the four-time former mayor of the capital with a broad coalition that includes PT backing, Paes registers 37–43% first-round support in Datafolha, Quaest, and other surveys from early to mid-September, placing him 18–21 points ahead of main challenger Douglas Ruas (PL). Ruas, backed by Flávio Bolsonaro, has gained modestly to the mid-20s but trails in every scenario tested, including potential runoffs. Anthony Garotinho’s candidacy was rejected by the TRE-RJ in mid-September over prior political-rights suspension. Traders appear to price Paes’s path to a possible first-round victory or strong runoff position as the dominant factor, with all other registered candidates remaining in single digits or lower.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$501,458
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Wird Allyson die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte gewinnen?

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Ja
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Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

65%
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97%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Eduardo Paes" mit 83%, gefolgt von „Douglas Ruas" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 83¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $501.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 9, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 16 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ist „Eduardo Paes" mit 83%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Douglas Ruas" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.