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Politik·Globale Wahlen

Gewinner der Gouverneurswahl in Paraná

icon for Gewinner der Gouverneurswahl in Paraná
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Gewinner der Gouverneurswahl in Paraná

Sergio Moro 78%

Requião Filho 11%

Rafael Greca 10%

Alexandre Curi 4.1%

Polymarket
NEU

Sergio Moro 78%

Requião Filho 11%

Rafael Greca 10%

Alexandre Curi 4.1%

Polymarket
NEU

Sergio Moro

$458 Vol.

78%

Requião Filho

$133 Vol.

11%

Rafael Greca

$171 Vol.

10%

Alexandre Curi

$133 Vol.

4%

Beto Richa

$192 Vol.

3%

Enio Verri

$118 Vol.

1%

Guto Silva

$118 Vol.

1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race, scheduled for October 4, as the clear frontrunner in recent polling and among traders. June surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Veritá show him at approximately 42% in first-round scenarios, more than 20 points ahead of Requião Filho, with Rafael Greca, Sandro Alex, and other names trailing further behind. This positioning stems from Moro’s established Senate tenure representing the state, anti-corruption profile, and alignment with center-right forces including Flávio Bolsonaro, which has consolidated support while disrupting PSD coordination around the incumbent governor’s preferred successor. High approval ratings for the term-limited Ratinho Júnior administration have not translated to his chosen candidate, leaving room for volatility as two-thirds of voters indicate they could still shift preferences before election day.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,324
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race, scheduled for October 4, as the clear frontrunner in recent polling and among traders. June surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Instituto Veritá show him at approximately 42% in first-round scenarios, more than 20 points ahead of Requião Filho, with Rafael Greca, Sandro Alex, and other names trailing further behind. This positioning stems from Moro’s established Senate tenure representing the state, anti-corruption profile, and alignment with center-right forces including Flávio Bolsonaro, which has consolidated support while disrupting PSD coordination around the incumbent governor’s preferred successor. High approval ratings for the term-limited Ratinho Júnior administration have not translated to his chosen candidate, leaving room for volatility as two-thirds of voters indicate they could still shift preferences before election day.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,324
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Gouverneurswahl in Paraná" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Sergio Moro" mit 78%, gefolgt von „Requião Filho" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 78¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 78% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Gewinner der Gouverneurswahl in Paraná" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 10, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Gewinner der Gouverneurswahl in Paraná" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Gouverneurswahl in Paraná" ist „Sergio Moro" mit 78%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 78% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Requião Filho" mit 11%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Gouverneurswahl in Paraná" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.