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Politik·Deutschland

Parlamentswahlen Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: SPD-Sitzanzahl?

icon for Parlamentswahlen Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: SPD-Sitzanzahl?
Politik·Deutschland

Parlamentswahlen Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: SPD-Sitzanzahl?

22-25 68%

26-29 27%

30-33 6%

18-21 1.2%

Polymarket
NEU

22-25 68%

26-29 27%

30-33 6%

18-21 1.2%

Polymarket
NEU

<18

$726 Vol.

1%

18-21

$356 Vol.

1%

22-25

$2,477 Vol.

68%

26-29

$978 Vol.

27%

30-33

$206 Vol.

6%

34+

$383 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling trends in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern position the SPD for a likely 22-25 seat outcome in the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, reflecting its vote share stabilizing near 28-29 percent amid an AfD lead at 35-36 percent. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig's SPD-Left coalition has seen modest recovery in July surveys, narrowing the gap slightly through targeted campaigning, though the AfD remains the strongest single party. Other parties including the CDU, Greens, and BSW hover near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting coalition options and raising prospects for a minority government. These dynamics, combined with the state's proportional representation system and historical seat allocations, drive trader consensus toward the mid-20s range for SPD representation ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.

This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.

If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$5,125
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling trends in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern position the SPD for a likely 22-25 seat outcome in the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, reflecting its vote share stabilizing near 28-29 percent amid an AfD lead at 35-36 percent. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig's SPD-Left coalition has seen modest recovery in July surveys, narrowing the gap slightly through targeted campaigning, though the AfD remains the strongest single party. Other parties including the CDU, Greens, and BSW hover near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting coalition options and raising prospects for a minority government. These dynamics, combined with the state's proportional representation system and historical seat allocations, drive trader consensus toward the mid-20s range for SPD representation ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.

This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.

If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$5,125
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Verwandte

icon for Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

34%
icon for Wird die AfD bei der Landtagswahl 2026 in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern die meisten Sitze gewinnen?

Wird die AfD bei der Landtagswahl 2026 in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern die meisten Sitze gewinnen?

84%
Ja
icon for Wird die Linke bei der Landtagswahl 2026 in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern die drittmeisten Sitze gewinnen?

Wird die Linke bei der Landtagswahl 2026 in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern die drittmeisten Sitze gewinnen?

65%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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