Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a steady lead at around 36 percent ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, while the SPD holds second place at approximately 29 percent, well ahead of the Linke, CDU, and smaller parties. This consistent gap has reinforced trader consensus on SPD finishing second, with limited movement in surveys over recent months despite minor SPD gains. The CDU and other established parties trail further back, and newer or fringe options show negligible support. No major campaign events or shifts in voter coalitions have altered these relative standings in the past several weeks, keeping the implied probabilities aligned with current survey trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertParlamentswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: 2. Platz
Parlamentswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: 2. Platz
SPD 86%
AfD 14.1%
BSW <1%
FDP <1%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
SPD
86%
AfD
14%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
Grüne
<1%
CDU
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
SPD 86%
AfD 14.1%
BSW <1%
FDP <1%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
SPD
$2,002 Vol.
86%
AfD
$2,240 Vol.
14%
BSW
$800 Vol.
1%
FDP
$874 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$812 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$803 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$815 Vol.
<1%
FW
$653 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a steady lead at around 36 percent ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, while the SPD holds second place at approximately 29 percent, well ahead of the Linke, CDU, and smaller parties. This consistent gap has reinforced trader consensus on SPD finishing second, with limited movement in surveys over recent months despite minor SPD gains. The CDU and other established parties trail further back, and newer or fringe options show negligible support. No major campaign events or shifts in voter coalitions have altered these relative standings in the past several weeks, keeping the implied probabilities aligned with current survey trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$8,999Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a steady lead at around 36 percent ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, while the SPD holds second place at approximately 29 percent, well ahead of the Linke, CDU, and smaller parties. This consistent gap has reinforced trader consensus on SPD finishing second, with limited movement in surveys over recent months despite minor SPD gains. The CDU and other established parties trail further back, and newer or fringe options show negligible support. No major campaign events or shifts in voter coalitions have altered these relative standings in the past several weeks, keeping the implied probabilities aligned with current survey trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$8,999Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a steady lead at around 36 percent ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, while the SPD holds second place at approximately 29 percent, well ahead of the Linke, CDU, and smaller parties. This consistent gap has reinforced trader consensus on SPD finishing second, with limited movement in surveys over recent months despite minor SPD gains. The CDU and other established parties trail further back, and newer or fringe options show negligible support. No major campaign events or shifts in voter coalitions have altered these relative standings in the past several weeks, keeping the implied probabilities aligned with current survey trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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