Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16% and 22%, with SPD further back, creating substantial uncertainty over final rankings. This tight distribution explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities for second place to CDU and AfD, followed by Linke, while assigning minimal odds to smaller parties. Candidate adjustments, including the CDU’s selection of a new lead contender after earlier changes, and ongoing debate over coalition viability have kept momentum fluid without clear separation. Late-campaign developments such as turnout differentials, issue salience around housing and security, or last-minute shifts among undecided voters could still reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLandtagswahl Berlin: 2. Platz
Landtagswahl Berlin: 2. Platz
CDU 36%
AfD 33%
Linke 24%
Grüne 7%
$23,867 Vol.
$23,867 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
CDU
36%
AfD
33%
Linke
24%
Grüne
7%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 36%
AfD 33%
Linke 24%
Grüne 7%
$23,867 Vol.
$23,867 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
CDU
$3,211 Vol.
36%
AfD
$5,376 Vol.
33%
Linke
$5,925 Vol.
24%
Grüne
$4,186 Vol.
7%
SPD
$3,060 Vol.
3%
FDP
$686 Vol.
<1%
FW
$640 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$783 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16% and 22%, with SPD further back, creating substantial uncertainty over final rankings. This tight distribution explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities for second place to CDU and AfD, followed by Linke, while assigning minimal odds to smaller parties. Candidate adjustments, including the CDU’s selection of a new lead contender after earlier changes, and ongoing debate over coalition viability have kept momentum fluid without clear separation. Late-campaign developments such as turnout differentials, issue salience around housing and security, or last-minute shifts among undecided voters could still reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Markt eröffnet: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volumen
$23,867Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16% and 22%, with SPD further back, creating substantial uncertainty over final rankings. This tight distribution explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities for second place to CDU and AfD, followed by Linke, while assigning minimal odds to smaller parties. Candidate adjustments, including the CDU’s selection of a new lead contender after earlier changes, and ongoing debate over coalition viability have kept momentum fluid without clear separation. Late-campaign developments such as turnout differentials, issue salience around housing and security, or last-minute shifts among undecided voters could still reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volumen
$23,867Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16% and 22%, with SPD further back, creating substantial uncertainty over final rankings. This tight distribution explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities for second place to CDU and AfD, followed by Linke, while assigning minimal odds to smaller parties. Candidate adjustments, including the CDU’s selection of a new lead contender after earlier changes, and ongoing debate over coalition viability have kept momentum fluid without clear separation. Late-campaign developments such as turnout differentials, issue salience around housing and security, or last-minute shifts among undecided voters could still reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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