In Santa Catarina’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest, two seats are at stake in a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates, producing tight implied probabilities for second place. Recent party conventions finalized slates that include established names such as Esperidião Amin (PP), Antídio Lunelli (MDB), and Afrânio Boppré (PSOL) alongside newer entrants like Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter, Décio Lima, and PL-aligned figures including Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro. The absence of dominant polling aggregates or late alliances has kept trader consensus diffuse, with no single contender exceeding roughly 45% implied probability of finishing second. Upcoming campaign events, coalition negotiations, and turnout patterns in key municipalities could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCarol de Toni 47%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 46%
Décio Lima 46%
Marcos Dorval 45%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Carol de Toni
47%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
46%
Décio Lima
46%
Marcos Dorval
45%
Carol
45%
Joaninha de Oliveira
44%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
44%
Afrânio Boppré
43%
Lunelli
43%
Esperidião Amin
42%
Carlos Bolsonaro
42%
Jeferson da Rocha
42%
Marlene Soccas
16%
Carol de Toni 47%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 46%
Décio Lima 46%
Marcos Dorval 45%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Carol de Toni
$0 Vol.
47%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$0 Vol.
46%
Décio Lima
$0 Vol.
46%
Marcos Dorval
$0 Vol.
45%
Carol
$0 Vol.
45%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$0 Vol.
44%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$0 Vol.
44%
Afrânio Boppré
$0 Vol.
43%
Lunelli
$0 Vol.
43%
Esperidião Amin
$0 Vol.
42%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
42%
Jeferson da Rocha
$0 Vol.
42%
Marlene Soccas
$0 Vol.
16%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest, two seats are at stake in a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates, producing tight implied probabilities for second place. Recent party conventions finalized slates that include established names such as Esperidião Amin (PP), Antídio Lunelli (MDB), and Afrânio Boppré (PSOL) alongside newer entrants like Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter, Décio Lima, and PL-aligned figures including Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro. The absence of dominant polling aggregates or late alliances has kept trader consensus diffuse, with no single contender exceeding roughly 45% implied probability of finishing second. Upcoming campaign events, coalition negotiations, and turnout patterns in key municipalities could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest, two seats are at stake in a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates, producing tight implied probabilities for second place. Recent party conventions finalized slates that include established names such as Esperidião Amin (PP), Antídio Lunelli (MDB), and Afrânio Boppré (PSOL) alongside newer entrants like Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter, Décio Lima, and PL-aligned figures including Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro. The absence of dominant polling aggregates or late alliances has kept trader consensus diffuse, with no single contender exceeding roughly 45% implied probability of finishing second. Upcoming campaign events, coalition negotiations, and turnout patterns in key municipalities could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Santa Catarina’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest, two seats are at stake in a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates, producing tight implied probabilities for second place. Recent party conventions finalized slates that include established names such as Esperidião Amin (PP), Antídio Lunelli (MDB), and Afrânio Boppré (PSOL) alongside newer entrants like Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter, Décio Lima, and PL-aligned figures including Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro. The absence of dominant polling aggregates or late alliances has kept trader consensus diffuse, with no single contender exceeding roughly 45% implied probability of finishing second. Upcoming campaign events, coalition negotiations, and turnout patterns in key municipalities could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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