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icon for Senatswahl Santa Catarina: 1. Platz
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Senatswahl Santa Catarina: 1. Platz

icon for Senatswahl Santa Catarina: 1. Platz
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Senatswahl Santa Catarina: 1. Platz

Jeferson da Rocha 21%

Marcos Dorval 18%

Lunelli 17%

Carol de Toni 16%

Polymarket
NEU

Jeferson da Rocha 21%

Marcos Dorval 18%

Lunelli 17%

Carol de Toni 16%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Jeferson da Rocha

Jeferson da Rocha

$56 Vol.

21%

icon for Marcos Dorval

Marcos Dorval

$56 Vol.

18%

icon for Lunelli

Lunelli

$96 Vol.

17%

icon for Carol de Toni

Carol de Toni

$96 Vol.

27%

icon for Marlene Soccas

Marlene Soccas

$56 Vol.

14%

icon for Carlos Bolsonaro

Carlos Bolsonaro

$95 Vol.

12%

icon for Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

$56 Vol.

11%

icon for Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

$56 Vol.

11%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$72 Vol.

11%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$72 Vol.

9%

icon for Joaninha de Oliveira

Joaninha de Oliveira

$102 Vol.

14%

icon for Carol

Carol

$56 Vol.

8%

icon for Esperidião Amin

Esperidião Amin

$56 Vol.

8%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent party conventions and endorsements from the Bolsonaro family have positioned PL candidates Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro as frontrunners for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet multiple polls show them closely trailed by Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others including Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Jeferson da Rocha (PRD). High undecided voter shares and split-ticket dynamics in a multi-candidate field sustain tight implied probabilities across leading names. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional alliances, or campaign momentum in the remaining months could widen gaps before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$925
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent party conventions and endorsements from the Bolsonaro family have positioned PL candidates Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro as frontrunners for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet multiple polls show them closely trailed by Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others including Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Jeferson da Rocha (PRD). High undecided voter shares and split-ticket dynamics in a multi-candidate field sustain tight implied probabilities across leading names. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional alliances, or campaign momentum in the remaining months could widen gaps before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$925
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Carol bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Santa Catarina die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Carol bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Santa Catarina die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

25%
Ja
icon for Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

27%
icon for Wird Cid Gomes die meisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Ceará gewinnen?

Wird Cid Gomes die meisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Ceará gewinnen?

24%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl Santa Catarina: 1. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Carol de Toni" mit 27%, gefolgt von „Jeferson da Rocha" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 27¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 27% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl Santa Catarina: 1. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl Santa Catarina: 1. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl Santa Catarina: 1. Platz" ist „Carol de Toni" mit 27%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 27% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Jeferson da Rocha" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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