Recent polls for São Paulo’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, followed closely by Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles. High undecided rates above 40 percent, low spontaneous name recognition, and the mechanics of voters selecting two candidates sustain the tight contest. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, with limited separation among top contenders. Key upcoming factors include intensified campaigning, party alliances, and further surveys that could shift momentum toward candidates demonstrating stronger regional or ideological consolidation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMarina Silva 26%
Guilherme Derrite 21%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira 19%
Weller Gonçalves 19%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Marina Silva
26%
Guilherme Derrite
13%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
19%
Weller Gonçalves
17%
William Teixeira
13%
Marcio Alves
13%
Simone Tebet
18%
Maíra de Souza
17%
Salles
17%
André do Prado
16%
Soninha Francine
15%
Petter Maahs
14%
Ednelson Cesaretti
13%
Geraldo Rufino
13%
Marina Silva 26%
Guilherme Derrite 21%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira 19%
Weller Gonçalves 19%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Marina Silva
$20 Vol.
26%
Guilherme Derrite
$40 Vol.
13%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$20 Vol.
19%
Weller Gonçalves
$20 Vol.
17%
William Teixeira
$40 Vol.
13%
Marcio Alves
$40 Vol.
13%
Simone Tebet
$20 Vol.
18%
Maíra de Souza
$20 Vol.
17%
Salles
$20 Vol.
17%
André do Prado
$20 Vol.
16%
Soninha Francine
$20 Vol.
15%
Petter Maahs
$20 Vol.
14%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$20 Vol.
13%
Geraldo Rufino
$20 Vol.
13%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for São Paulo’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, followed closely by Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles. High undecided rates above 40 percent, low spontaneous name recognition, and the mechanics of voters selecting two candidates sustain the tight contest. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, with limited separation among top contenders. Key upcoming factors include intensified campaigning, party alliances, and further surveys that could shift momentum toward candidates demonstrating stronger regional or ideological consolidation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volumen
$340Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for São Paulo’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, followed closely by Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles. High undecided rates above 40 percent, low spontaneous name recognition, and the mechanics of voters selecting two candidates sustain the tight contest. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, with limited separation among top contenders. Key upcoming factors include intensified campaigning, party alliances, and further surveys that could shift momentum toward candidates demonstrating stronger regional or ideological consolidation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$340Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for São Paulo’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, followed closely by Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles. High undecided rates above 40 percent, low spontaneous name recognition, and the mechanics of voters selecting two candidates sustain the tight contest. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, with limited separation among top contenders. Key upcoming factors include intensified campaigning, party alliances, and further surveys that could shift momentum toward candidates demonstrating stronger regional or ideological consolidation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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