The race for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives remains tightly contested among the governing coalition parties, with trader consensus showing PI holding a narrow edge at 51% implied probability while RNI, PAM, and several others cluster near 50%. Recent campaign developments, including candidate filings completed in early September and the start of official campaigning on September 10, have highlighted competition over job creation pledges, youth inclusion measures, and responses to public discontent over living costs and unemployment. Leadership transitions within RNI, combined with PAM’s reported organizational momentum and Istiqlal’s established territorial networks, have kept the ordering fluid, while lower probabilities for USFP, PJD, and smaller parties reflect their more limited national reach. Low projected turnout and the proportional representation system add further uncertainty to final seat allocations among the top contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPI 50%
RNI 25%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.0%
$41,293 Vol.
$41,293 Vol.
23. Sep. 2026
PI
50%
RNI
25%
PJD
9%
PAM
4%
USFP
14%
UC
<1%
MP
<1%
PPS
<1%
PI 50%
RNI 25%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.0%
$41,293 Vol.
$41,293 Vol.
23. Sep. 2026
PI
$20,261 Vol.
50%
RNI
$15,817 Vol.
25%
PJD
$1,072 Vol.
9%
PAM
$1,385 Vol.
4%
USFP
$1,116 Vol.
14%
UC
$536 Vol.
<1%
MP
$568 Vol.
<1%
PPS
$537 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The race for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives remains tightly contested among the governing coalition parties, with trader consensus showing PI holding a narrow edge at 51% implied probability while RNI, PAM, and several others cluster near 50%. Recent campaign developments, including candidate filings completed in early September and the start of official campaigning on September 10, have highlighted competition over job creation pledges, youth inclusion measures, and responses to public discontent over living costs and unemployment. Leadership transitions within RNI, combined with PAM’s reported organizational momentum and Istiqlal’s established territorial networks, have kept the ordering fluid, while lower probabilities for USFP, PJD, and smaller parties reflect their more limited national reach. Low projected turnout and the proportional representation system add further uncertainty to final seat allocations among the top contenders.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volumen
$41,293Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The race for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives remains tightly contested among the governing coalition parties, with trader consensus showing PI holding a narrow edge at 51% implied probability while RNI, PAM, and several others cluster near 50%. Recent campaign developments, including candidate filings completed in early September and the start of official campaigning on September 10, have highlighted competition over job creation pledges, youth inclusion measures, and responses to public discontent over living costs and unemployment. Leadership transitions within RNI, combined with PAM’s reported organizational momentum and Istiqlal’s established territorial networks, have kept the ordering fluid, while lower probabilities for USFP, PJD, and smaller parties reflect their more limited national reach. Low projected turnout and the proportional representation system add further uncertainty to final seat allocations among the top contenders.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$41,293Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The race for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives remains tightly contested among the governing coalition parties, with trader consensus showing PI holding a narrow edge at 51% implied probability while RNI, PAM, and several others cluster near 50%. Recent campaign developments, including candidate filings completed in early September and the start of official campaigning on September 10, have highlighted competition over job creation pledges, youth inclusion measures, and responses to public discontent over living costs and unemployment. Leadership transitions within RNI, combined with PAM’s reported organizational momentum and Istiqlal’s established territorial networks, have kept the ordering fluid, while lower probabilities for USFP, PJD, and smaller parties reflect their more limited national reach. Low projected turnout and the proportional representation system add further uncertainty to final seat allocations among the top contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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