Renan Santos, the Mission Party nominee and former Free Brazil Movement co-founder, remains a minor contender in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential contest. Recent September polling consistently places him between 2% and 4%, behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro and several other right-leaning names. His candidacy received unanimous TSE approval on September 10 after a brief regulatory pause, restoring access to public funds and allowing full campaigning. Santos has focused outreach on younger voters through rallies and digital mobilization while positioning Mission as a pragmatic right-wing alternative. These factors, combined with the party’s limited national infrastructure and the dominance of established contenders, underpin trader consensus that his vote share will fall in the low single digits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2-4 % 47%
4–6 % 26%
<2 % 19%
8 %+ 11%
$61,425 Vol.
$61,425 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
<2 %
19%
2-4 %
47%
4–6 %
26%
6-8 %
6%
8 %+
11%
2-4 % 47%
4–6 % 26%
<2 % 19%
8 %+ 11%
$61,425 Vol.
$61,425 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
<2 %
$803 Vol.
19%
2-4 %
$1,872 Vol.
47%
4–6 %
$2,362 Vol.
26%
6-8 %
$560 Vol.
6%
8 %+
$55,828 Vol.
11%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos, the Mission Party nominee and former Free Brazil Movement co-founder, remains a minor contender in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential contest. Recent September polling consistently places him between 2% and 4%, behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro and several other right-leaning names. His candidacy received unanimous TSE approval on September 10 after a brief regulatory pause, restoring access to public funds and allowing full campaigning. Santos has focused outreach on younger voters through rallies and digital mobilization while positioning Mission as a pragmatic right-wing alternative. These factors, combined with the party’s limited national infrastructure and the dominance of established contenders, underpin trader consensus that his vote share will fall in the low single digits.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ET
Volumen
$61,425Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos, the Mission Party nominee and former Free Brazil Movement co-founder, remains a minor contender in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential contest. Recent September polling consistently places him between 2% and 4%, behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro and several other right-leaning names. His candidacy received unanimous TSE approval on September 10 after a brief regulatory pause, restoring access to public funds and allowing full campaigning. Santos has focused outreach on younger voters through rallies and digital mobilization while positioning Mission as a pragmatic right-wing alternative. These factors, combined with the party’s limited national infrastructure and the dominance of established contenders, underpin trader consensus that his vote share will fall in the low single digits.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$61,425Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Renan Santos, the Mission Party nominee and former Free Brazil Movement co-founder, remains a minor contender in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential contest. Recent September polling consistently places him between 2% and 4%, behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro and several other right-leaning names. His candidacy received unanimous TSE approval on September 10 after a brief regulatory pause, restoring access to public funds and allowing full campaigning. Santos has focused outreach on younger voters through rallies and digital mobilization while positioning Mission as a pragmatic right-wing alternative. These factors, combined with the party’s limited national infrastructure and the dominance of established contenders, underpin trader consensus that his vote share will fall in the low single digits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
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