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icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: Augusto Cury Stimmenanteil?
Welt·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: Augusto Cury Stimmenanteil?

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: Augusto Cury Stimmenanteil?
Welt·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: Augusto Cury Stimmenanteil?

4–6 % 34%

6%+ 33%

2-4 % 23%

1-2 % 9%

Polymarket
NEU

4–6 % 34%

6%+ 33%

2-4 % 23%

1-2 % 9%

Polymarket
NEU

<1 %

$56 Vol.

6%

1-2 %

$40 Vol.

9%

2-4 %

$411 Vol.

23%

4–6 %

$135 Vol.

34%

6%+

$399 Vol.

33%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows Augusto Cury (Avante) holding steady in the 6-7% range in first-round scenarios, after a late-August surge to double digits driven by social media reach and television appearances that positioned him as a third-way option appealing to independents. The latest BTG/Nexus and Quaest surveys place him behind Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) but ahead of or level with other minor candidates, with roughly 40% of his current supporters indicating they could still switch. Trader consensus remains split between the 4-6% and 6%+ brackets because his support has proven volatile amid campaign consolidation toward the two frontrunners, limited free airtime, and ongoing voter indecision. Final debates, electoral broadcasts, and turnout patterns in the remaining weeks could determine whether his share holds or erodes before the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.

The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$1,040
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows Augusto Cury (Avante) holding steady in the 6-7% range in first-round scenarios, after a late-August surge to double digits driven by social media reach and television appearances that positioned him as a third-way option appealing to independents. The latest BTG/Nexus and Quaest surveys place him behind Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) but ahead of or level with other minor candidates, with roughly 40% of his current supporters indicating they could still switch. Trader consensus remains split between the 4-6% and 6%+ brackets because his support has proven volatile amid campaign consolidation toward the two frontrunners, limited free airtime, and ongoing voter indecision. Final debates, electoral broadcasts, and turnout patterns in the remaining weeks could determine whether his share holds or erodes before the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.

The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$1,040
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 39 % oder mehr der gültigen Stimmen gewinnen?

Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 39 % oder mehr der gültigen Stimmen gewinnen?

74%
Ja
icon for Wird Renan Santos in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 zwischen 2 % und 4 % der gültigen Stimmen gewinnen?

Wird Renan Santos in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 zwischen 2 % und 4 % der gültigen Stimmen gewinnen?

35%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 44 % oder mehr der gültigen Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 44 % oder mehr der gültigen Stimmen erhalten?

42%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: Augusto Cury Stimmenanteil?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „4–6 %" mit 34%, gefolgt von „6%+" mit 33%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 34¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 34% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: Augusto Cury Stimmenanteil?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 15, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl in der ersten Runde: Augusto Cury Stimmenanteil?" ist „4–6 %" mit 34%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 34% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „6%+" mit 33%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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