United Russia, the dominant ruling party, maintains a strong position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections through extensive administrative resources, single-member district advantages, and limited genuine opposition competition. Recent party primaries and regional contests have reinforced its organizational edge, while the approved party list featuring figures such as Sergei Lavrov and Sergey Sobyanin signals continued alignment with the Kremlin. Approval ratings have softened amid economic pressures and the ongoing conflict, yet polls and historical patterns indicate the party will secure well over the 226-seat majority threshold. Trader consensus favoring 325–354 seats reflects expectations of a stable but not record supermajority, consistent with 2021 results and the managed electoral environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Sitze wird Einiges Russland bei den nächsten russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
325–339 36%
340–354 24%
310–324 20.2%
355+ 12%
$183,896 Vol.
$183,896 Vol.
<280
3%
280–294
3%
295–309
7%
310–324
20%
325–339
36%
340–354
24%
355+
12%
325–339 36%
340–354 24%
310–324 20.2%
355+ 12%
$183,896 Vol.
$183,896 Vol.
<280
3%
280–294
3%
295–309
7%
310–324
20%
325–339
36%
340–354
24%
355+
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia, the dominant ruling party, maintains a strong position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections through extensive administrative resources, single-member district advantages, and limited genuine opposition competition. Recent party primaries and regional contests have reinforced its organizational edge, while the approved party list featuring figures such as Sergei Lavrov and Sergey Sobyanin signals continued alignment with the Kremlin. Approval ratings have softened amid economic pressures and the ongoing conflict, yet polls and historical patterns indicate the party will secure well over the 226-seat majority threshold. Trader consensus favoring 325–354 seats reflects expectations of a stable but not record supermajority, consistent with 2021 results and the managed electoral environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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