United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant incumbent with roughly 310–314 seats, backed by official polling averages near 45 percent alongside lower independent estimates around 34 percent. Trader positioning around the 325–339 range reflects expectations of continued strength in single-mandate districts and party-list voting under a managed system that limits genuine opposition. Recent primaries emphasized renewal through war veterans and regional figures while preserving core loyalists, and economic pressures plus wartime polling constraints have produced modest rating softness without altering structural advantages. Key variables include turnout mobilization, regional delivery by governors, and any late adjustments in candidate slates that could shift the exact seat band within the constitutional-majority range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Sitze wird Einiges Russland bei den nächsten russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Wie viele Sitze wird Einiges Russland bei den nächsten russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 19.0%
355+ 12%
$184,634 Vol.
$184,634 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<280
4%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
12%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 19.0%
355+ 12%
$184,634 Vol.
$184,634 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<280
$26,771 Vol.
4%
280–294
$16,666 Vol.
4%
295–309
$11,877 Vol.
7%
310–324
$14,888 Vol.
19%
325–339
$27,776 Vol.
35%
340–354
$48,646 Vol.
23%
355+
$38,009 Vol.
12%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant incumbent with roughly 310–314 seats, backed by official polling averages near 45 percent alongside lower independent estimates around 34 percent. Trader positioning around the 325–339 range reflects expectations of continued strength in single-mandate districts and party-list voting under a managed system that limits genuine opposition. Recent primaries emphasized renewal through war veterans and regional figures while preserving core loyalists, and economic pressures plus wartime polling constraints have produced modest rating softness without altering structural advantages. Key variables include turnout mobilization, regional delivery by governors, and any late adjustments in candidate slates that could shift the exact seat band within the constitutional-majority range.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volumen
$184,634Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant incumbent with roughly 310–314 seats, backed by official polling averages near 45 percent alongside lower independent estimates around 34 percent. Trader positioning around the 325–339 range reflects expectations of continued strength in single-mandate districts and party-list voting under a managed system that limits genuine opposition. Recent primaries emphasized renewal through war veterans and regional figures while preserving core loyalists, and economic pressures plus wartime polling constraints have produced modest rating softness without altering structural advantages. Key variables include turnout mobilization, regional delivery by governors, and any late adjustments in candidate slates that could shift the exact seat band within the constitutional-majority range.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$184,634Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election as the dominant incumbent with roughly 310–314 seats, backed by official polling averages near 45 percent alongside lower independent estimates around 34 percent. Trader positioning around the 325–339 range reflects expectations of continued strength in single-mandate districts and party-list voting under a managed system that limits genuine opposition. Recent primaries emphasized renewal through war veterans and regional figures while preserving core loyalists, and economic pressures plus wartime polling constraints have produced modest rating softness without altering structural advantages. Key variables include turnout mobilization, regional delivery by governors, and any late adjustments in candidate slates that could shift the exact seat band within the constitutional-majority range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen