The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent provincial polling ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with support around 30-34% and particular strength among francophone voters, translating into seat projections that favor a majority government. This positioning underpins trader consensus on its frontrunner status. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec trails at roughly 19-20% following its April 2026 leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, with only modest gains that have not closed the gap. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive in the low-to-mid 20s but sits behind the PQ in most surveys, while smaller parties register negligible shares. Late-campaign shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout patterns could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec
Gewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec
PQ 76%
CAQ 16%
PLQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$753,160 Vol.
$753,160 Vol.
5. Okt. 2026
PQ
76%
CAQ
16%
PLQ
9%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 76%
CAQ 16%
PLQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$753,160 Vol.
$753,160 Vol.
5. Okt. 2026
PQ
$79,900 Vol.
76%
CAQ
$107,878 Vol.
16%
PLQ
$99,782 Vol.
9%
PCQ
$206,726 Vol.
<1%
QS
$101,378 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent provincial polling ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with support around 30-34% and particular strength among francophone voters, translating into seat projections that favor a majority government. This positioning underpins trader consensus on its frontrunner status. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec trails at roughly 19-20% following its April 2026 leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, with only modest gains that have not closed the gap. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive in the low-to-mid 20s but sits behind the PQ in most surveys, while smaller parties register negligible shares. Late-campaign shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout patterns could still alter the outcome before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$753,160Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent provincial polling ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with support around 30-34% and particular strength among francophone voters, translating into seat projections that favor a majority government. This positioning underpins trader consensus on its frontrunner status. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec trails at roughly 19-20% following its April 2026 leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, with only modest gains that have not closed the gap. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive in the low-to-mid 20s but sits behind the PQ in most surveys, while smaller parties register negligible shares. Late-campaign shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout patterns could still alter the outcome before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$753,160Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent provincial polling ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with support around 30-34% and particular strength among francophone voters, translating into seat projections that favor a majority government. This positioning underpins trader consensus on its frontrunner status. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec trails at roughly 19-20% following its April 2026 leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, with only modest gains that have not closed the gap. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive in the low-to-mid 20s but sits behind the PQ in most surveys, while smaller parties register negligible shares. Late-campaign shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout patterns could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
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