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Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%

Charles Milliard 35%

Christine Fréchette 6.0%

Éric Duhaime <1%

Polymarket

$23,270 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%

Charles Milliard 35%

Christine Fréchette 6.0%

Éric Duhaime <1%

Polymarket

$23,270 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$4,410 Vol.

56%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,548 Vol.

35%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$2,787 Vol.

6%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$5,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,603 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,187 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 56.5% to become Quebec's next premier following the October 2026 general election, driven by projection models like 338Canada and Qc125 awarding PQ 62-64 seats despite neck-and-neck vote intentions with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) in polls released May 13 showing both at 28-30%. PQ's dominance among francophone voters outside Montreal bolsters its path to a plurality or majority in the 125-seat National Assembly, while PLQ leader Charles Milliard's 34.5% odds face headwinds from a fresh UPAC probe into the party's leadership race. CAQ's Christine Fréchette trails at 6% despite recent polling gains to 18%, reflecting post-Legault recovery limits ahead of the vote.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$23,270
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 56.5% to become Quebec's next premier following the October 2026 general election, driven by projection models like 338Canada and Qc125 awarding PQ 62-64 seats despite neck-and-neck vote intentions with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) in polls released May 13 showing both at 28-30%. PQ's dominance among francophone voters outside Montreal bolsters its path to a plurality or majority in the 125-seat National Assembly, while PLQ leader Charles Milliard's 34.5% odds face headwinds from a fresh UPAC probe into the party's leadership race. CAQ's Christine Fréchette trails at 6% despite recent polling gains to 18%, reflecting post-Legault recovery limits ahead of the vote.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$23,270
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next Premier of Quebec" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" mit 56%, gefolgt von „Charles Milliard" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 56¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next Premier of Quebec" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $23.3K generiert, seit der Markt am May 1, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next Premier of Quebec" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next Premier of Quebec" ist „Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" mit 56%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Charles Milliard" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next Premier of Quebec" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.