Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang-nominated township head, leads trader pricing at 58.5% for the November 28, 2026, Penghu County magistrate race, ahead of independents and other contenders clustered near or below 50%. The market reflects a fragmented field where the non-DPP vote risks splitting between the official KMT pick and a former party member running independently, a dynamic that has prompted talk of internal coordination or a poll to consolidate support. Penghu’s outlying-island electorate, focused on tourism, fisheries, and cross-strait ties, has shown volatility in recent cycles, with the DPP capturing the seat in 2022. No major new polling or endorsements have emerged since the April 2026 KMT nomination to widen Chen’s edge, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to any late unification of opposition votes or shifts in local turnout patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertChen Chen-chung 59%
Wu Shu-chin 15%
Chou Ni-an 13%
Hsu Chih-fu 7%
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2027
Chen Chen-chung
59%
Wu Shu-chin
15%
Chou Ni-an
10%
Hsu Chih-fu
7%
Yeh Chu-lin
2%
Chen Chin-chuan
1%
Chen Chen-chung 59%
Wu Shu-chin 15%
Chou Ni-an 13%
Hsu Chih-fu 7%
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2027
Chen Chen-chung
$1,367 Vol.
59%
Wu Shu-chin
$268 Vol.
15%
Chou Ni-an
$325 Vol.
10%
Hsu Chih-fu
$487 Vol.
7%
Yeh Chu-lin
$160 Vol.
2%
Chen Chin-chuan
$199 Vol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang-nominated township head, leads trader pricing at 58.5% for the November 28, 2026, Penghu County magistrate race, ahead of independents and other contenders clustered near or below 50%. The market reflects a fragmented field where the non-DPP vote risks splitting between the official KMT pick and a former party member running independently, a dynamic that has prompted talk of internal coordination or a poll to consolidate support. Penghu’s outlying-island electorate, focused on tourism, fisheries, and cross-strait ties, has shown volatility in recent cycles, with the DPP capturing the seat in 2022. No major new polling or endorsements have emerged since the April 2026 KMT nomination to widen Chen’s edge, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to any late unification of opposition votes or shifts in local turnout patterns.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET
Volumen
$2,805Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang-nominated township head, leads trader pricing at 58.5% for the November 28, 2026, Penghu County magistrate race, ahead of independents and other contenders clustered near or below 50%. The market reflects a fragmented field where the non-DPP vote risks splitting between the official KMT pick and a former party member running independently, a dynamic that has prompted talk of internal coordination or a poll to consolidate support. Penghu’s outlying-island electorate, focused on tourism, fisheries, and cross-strait ties, has shown volatility in recent cycles, with the DPP capturing the seat in 2022. No major new polling or endorsements have emerged since the April 2026 KMT nomination to widen Chen’s edge, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to any late unification of opposition votes or shifts in local turnout patterns.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$2,805Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang-nominated township head, leads trader pricing at 58.5% for the November 28, 2026, Penghu County magistrate race, ahead of independents and other contenders clustered near or below 50%. The market reflects a fragmented field where the non-DPP vote risks splitting between the official KMT pick and a former party member running independently, a dynamic that has prompted talk of internal coordination or a poll to consolidate support. Penghu’s outlying-island electorate, focused on tourism, fisheries, and cross-strait ties, has shown volatility in recent cycles, with the DPP capturing the seat in 2022. No major new polling or endorsements have emerged since the April 2026 KMT nomination to widen Chen’s edge, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to any late unification of opposition votes or shifts in local turnout patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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